Saturday , 21 December 2024

Bear Phase in Bull Market for Gold Will End This Summer – Here Are 30 Reasons Why (2K Views)

Below are the 30 reasons, 23 new and 7 set in cement, of why the bear phase in the bull market for gold ends thisgold-bars4 summer without any new lows.

The above comments are excerpts from a post* by Jim Sinclair (jsmineset.com) entitled 30 Reasons The Bear Phase In Gold Ends This Summer.

The following post is presented courtesy of Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!) and the FREE Market Intelligence Report newsletter (sample here) and may have been edited, abridged and/or reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.

30 reasons

Sinclair’s post (unedited) is as follows:

1. The new definition of warfare is economic. Sanctions against Russia and the implications for the petrodollar.

2. FACTA and the universal long arm of the U.S. government via any transaction internationally that passes even momentarily through the dollar as a contract settlement mechanism. The negative implications for the dollar’s future as a contract settlement mechanism internationally.

3. EU split over sanctions due to Russian energy demand and Russian business interests.

4. Middle East western hegemony and Arab Spring is defunct.

5. Iran to assist in Iraq if asked, which is the failure of “Misssion Accomplished.”

6. Iraq oil production challenged by ISEL.

7. Kurds emboldened by ISEL.

8. US relationship with Saudi Arabia and Qatar is strained.

9. BRICs uniting economically and politically as a standalone force.

10. China expands Yuan/Renminbi as an international currency.

11. China’s China Sea energy tensions with Japan and Vietnam.

12. USA’s position on the China Sea crisis where Japan is concerned.

13. The militarization of Japan.

14. The distinct scent of inflation.

15. General dissatisfaction with answers to questions to Chair Yellen regarding FOMC meeting last week

16. IMF reduced expectations of US economic recovery.

17. US zombie banks as defined by banks leveraged generally 30 to 35 times the size of their capital of total OTC derivative exposure.

18. Condition of the flooded municipal bond market.

19. Decline in volume with rise in value of equities, making equity price shadows our reality.

20. Totally irrational exuberance driven by hyper liquidity.

21. Hyper liquidity can become hyper inflation via the velocity of money in a crisis of confidence of the dollar. Therefore hyperinflation will be a currency motivated event.

22. Reaction in the momentum equity leaders of the last 2 years burning a public.

23. Strength of the utilities group which has historical attachment to tops in equity markets.

Old problems:

24. The one quadrillion, one hundred and forty four trillion dollars real size of the OTC derivatives market.

25. Economic underpinning of the dollar in jeopardy as recovery sputters globally

26. Absurd size of the Fed balance sheet and lack of marketability of significant size legacy derivative positions.

27. Taper of QE and little Belgium to the QE rescue.

28. China and Russia on the sell side of the US treasuries.

29. MY RA exposes consideration of invasion of retirement accounts, and GOTS (Get out of the system) as a defense strategy.

30. The huge drop out of the labor pool in the U.S., making employment figures sketchy at best.

Editor’s Note: The author’s views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.

*http://www.jsmineset.com/2014/06/21/30-reasons-the-bear-phase-in-gold-ends-this-summer/ (Copyright © 2014 :: Jim Sinclair’s Mineset – All Rights Reserved.)

Related Articles:

1. Your IRA Is At Risk – Here’s Why & What To Do About It

The myRA program, which ostensibly helps people save for retirement (though it offers no benefits over existing options). is the opening shot in the undeclared war on your retirement savings and an eyebrow-raising ruling in the US Tax Court is the second shot. Let me explain. Read More »

2. Financial Warfare: What Would Russia’s Sale of US Treasury Holdings Mean for U.S.?

News events from the Crimean Peninsula have increased paranoia in the mainstream financial press and certain corners of the internet [that Russia, in response to any economic sanctions implemented by the West, might engage in some form of retaliatory financial warfare. Read More »

3. China Converting U.S. Dollar Debt Holdings Into Gold At Accelerating Rate

China, Russia and other nations are exiting their dollar-denominated holdings in favor of gold. This action should put pressure on the dollar and U.S. treasuries, pushing not only central banks, but mainstream investors towards the safety of precious metals and other tangible assets that cannot be defaulted on. There will be a rush out of dollars and into assets with no counter-party risk, it is just a matter of how soon it happens. Read More »

4. Derivatives Are Nothing More Than A “Game” of Russian Roulette! Here’s Why

Russian Roulette: Put one bullet in the cylinder of a revolver, spin the cylinder, point the gun at YOUR head, and pull the trigger. Most revolvers have 6 chambers, so your odds of surviving are 5 in 6, IF you quit after pulling the trigger once. Press your luck, spin the cylinder, point the gun, and pull the trigger again. It might be okay. Try for a third time? Now let’s play Russian roulette – derivatives style. Read More »

5. What Would USD Collapse Mean for the World?

I came to the conclusion several years ago that it was just a matter of time before the world realized that the relative functionality of the U.S. dollar was about to go belly up – to collapse. [Below is an explanation as to why I have come to that conclusion and what I think it would mean for the well-being of the world.] Words: 881 Read More »

6. U.S. Dollar Collapse Will Be Cataclysmic Endgame of Current Fiscal Policy

Government fiscal policy – profligate spending, leading to debt crisis, leading to currency crisis, leading to…the fall of the U.S. dollar – is the major cataclysmic endgame that is going to befall the U.S. Read More »

7. Which of These 6 Actions Will U.S. Gov’t Take to Resolve Country’s Debt Problems?

The U.S. is in a financial debt spiral. What’s the Administration to do? This article analyzes 6 alternative courses of action available, presents the consensus view of each, comes to a conclusion as to what will unfold and suggests what the implications are for one’s investment portfolio. Let’s take a look. Read More »

8. Interest Rates NOT Rising Any Time Soon – Even With Fed Tapering. Here’s Why

Everyone and their mom is expecting long-term interest rates to rise now that the Fed is tapering its bond buying programs. I have a couple of problems with this line of thinking because, although it seems like reducing demand for a security (i.e. tapering QE) would result in a drop in price, when you really think about how quantitative easing works this makes no sense and, secondly, the market is telling us this makes no sense. Let me explain. Read More »

9. Bigger IS Better! What Does This Selective Advance Mean For the Stock Markets Going Forward?

The average U.S. stock is DOWN over 1% thus far in 2014. How can that be when we’re being told almost daily that the Dow and S&P 500 are hitting new all-time highs? The answer is likely to surprise you. Read More »

10. Fed & Yellen So Far Behind Inflation Curve Chance of Hyperinflation Is Now 35%! Here’s Why

Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve are so behind the inflation curve, and many other market implication curves, that we probably are staring at a 35% chance of a Hyper-Inflationary period by the time the Federal Reserve realizes that “noise” is actually real inflation! Read More »

11. Take Advantage of Current Excessive Liquidity With a Tactical Approach to Investing – Here’s How

The growth in liquidity in global systems has become staggering…[reaching] a whopping $15 trillion – and rising – from the world’s eight largest central banks [alone as shown in the chart below.]…[That’s equal to almost] one-third of world equity values…which means that central banks are creating another bubble…No wonder the stock market is rising. [With so] much liquidity,…and with interest rates so low, there is no place to go but “risk on” assets. [That being said,] investors need to know how to capitalize on this short term phenomenon and how to prepare for the inevitable burst. [Let me explain further.] Words: 489 Read More »

12. Next Bear Market Shaping Up To Be Quite the Storm – Here’s Why

The U.S. stock market has been closing at one record high after another but, despite the seemingly unending investor optimism more than five years into the current bull market, some worrisome issues are continuing to build under the surface. Like all past bull markets, the latest episode will eventually come to an end and a new bear market will begin and it has the potential to be even worse than the two previous downturns since the start of the new millennium… Read More »

13. Remember the “Nifty 50″? It’s Back! What Does It Mean For the Markets Going Forward?

Market historians will recall the term “Nifty 50” originated in the 1960’s bull market to describe 50 wildly popular large-cap stocks at the time. Interestingly, some of the same names from that list are leading the market higher today. The question for investors, of course, is what this selective advance means for the markets going forward. Read More »

14. An Analysis of Bubbles, Bubblers, Bubble Beliefs, Bubblenomics & Bursting Bubbles

The benefits of being able to detect a bubble, when you are in its midst, rather than after it bursts, is that you may be able to protect yourself from its consequences. [Below are possible] mechanisms to detect bubbles [and insights as to] how well they work: Read More »

15. U.S. Economy: Reduce Spending (Future Depression) OR Keep Spending (Future Hyperinflation)

The U.S. government is in what is known as a “debt death spiral”. They must borrow money to repay prior debts. It is as if they are using their Visa Card to make an American Express payment. The rate of new debt additions dwarf any rate of growth the economy can possibly achieve. The end is certain, only its timing is unknown, and, once interest rates begin to rise, and they will, it’s game over. Read More »

16. Tips from TIPS on Prospects for Growth, Outlook for Inflation & Future for Gold

TIPS are telling us that the market is quite pessimistic about the prospects for real growth, but not concerned at all about the outlook for inflation. Read More »

17. Financial Warfare: U.S. Would Be the Big Loser In Any Economic Confrontation With Russia – Here’s Why

Russia could initiate a much scarier financial attack on the U.S. than dumping its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds were America to impose sanctions because of Russia’s actions in the Crimea. Read More »

18.  Will We See Financial Warfare Between U.S. & Russia?

There is little the United States can do militarily to change the outcome in Ukraine…but this does not mean the United States is helpless. No sooner had the Russian invasion become clear than the White House announced the possibility of economic sanctions against Russia….By implementing such sanctions, the United States has moved in the direction of a new kind of warfare — not kinetic war involving ships, planes and missiles — but financial war involving cash, stocks, bonds and derivatives. The policy question, and an important question for investors, is how far can this type of financial warfare go and how effective can it be? What will the impact of financial war be on markets in general and investors in particular? Read More »

19. Will May 20th Go Down In History As the Day the U.S. “Petrodollar” Monopoly Was Finally Shattered?

The struggle over Ukraine has caused Russia to completely re-evaluate the financial relationship that it has with the United States. If it starts trading a lot of oil and natural gas for currencies other than the U.S. dollar, that will be a massive blow for the petrodollar, and it could end up dramatically – and negatively – impacting the average American’s current standard of living. Let me explain. Read More »

20. Capital Controls: How & Why They’re Implemented; What Harm They Cause; How to Protect Yourself

It’s crucially important to your financial future that you understand what capital controls are, how and why they are implemented, the harm they can cause, and what you can do to protect yourself. [This article does just that. Read on!] Read More »

21. Update: U.S. Currency Control Implementation Has Been Delayed Until Jan. 1, 2017! How Will It Affect You?

Long the champion and beneficiary of free trade and the free flow of capital, the United States has enacted legislation that becomes effective on January 1, 2017 that a growing number of commentators and professionals believe could be the start of capital controls in America and have serious unintended consequences. Let me explain…… Words: 1252 Read More »

22. BRICS Plan to Abandon U.S. Dollar Will Hurt U.S. and Help Gold

Frustrated with what they viewed as being ignored by the West and not having a prominent role in institutions like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (also known as the BRICS countries) have held their second summit…[and declared war on the U.S. dollar. Let me explain.] Words: 572 Read More »

23. China’s Reining In of U.S. Treasury Purchases Will Precipitate U.S. Dollar Collapse

The People’s Bank of China is reported by Bloomberg to have said that it will rein in dollar purchases as the country no longer benefits from increases in its foreign-currency holdings…What implications will this have? I believe that we’ll see the start of a U.S. dollar collapse. Here’s why Read More »

One comment

  1. Add to the list the rapid increase in US Energy prices as traditional generation Big Utilities seeks to raise rates to maintain their market share and their “grip” over ratepayers that are now going Solar in ever increasing numbers.

    Old technology and/or dirty Big Energy (which includes coal and nuclear) will continue to drag the US economy down because of long term contracts that their lobbyists have “bought”.

    Instead of using Natural Gas (NG) to power the shift of the USA from Coal and Nuclear to Solar (of all flavors), most of the NG is now being shipped outside the USA, resulting in profits for Big NG and doing nothing for moving the USA toward a cleaner future.