Economic Overviews

...I am feeling a bit sick after updating my monthly economic outlook...[which shows] that things are getting worse...[and] now dealing with expectations at 2009 lows. Yes, that's not a mistake unfortunately. In this article, I am once again reiterating my growth slowing call and tell you what's next.

The trade war between China and the U.S. has brought fear to global markets. What will the trade war impact be?

Since the UK voted to leave the European Union, international markets have experienced uncertainty about how trade with the UK would change. This change in trade balances is the subject of today's article.

Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions and our weekly Business Cycle Index would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions. [What's it saying these days? Read on!]

The internet has a lot of shallow poorly presented financial/economic/investing commentary but this post presents some of the best videos on 1) the Recession & Trump Economics, (2) the History of Stock Market Crashes, (3) the Coming Economic Collapse, (4) Understanding the Yield Curve and (5) Insights Into the Inverted Yield Curve. These videos are well presented and warrant your attention. Take a listen!

The Misery Index is a quick and dirty metric to gauge the health of the economy because as inflation rises the cost of living increases and as unemployment rises more people cross the economic line into poverty.

China’s economy is not crashing even though many of the latest economic statistics are the lowest in some time. It's actually worse than that. Here's why.

Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions. Our weekly Business Cycle Index (BCI)...[has an excellent track record of providing] reliable early warnings for the past seven recessions and last week's BCI] is far from signaling a recession.

The IMF has officially cut its outlook for global growth to the lowest since the financial crisis amid a worsening outlook in most major advanced economies.

The probability that the U.S. economy will enter into a national recession at some time in the next twelve months has risen to nearly 7%, or roughly a 1-in-14 chance.