Tag Archives: U.S. Dollar

Conditions are favorable for a strong U.S. stock market performance in the fourth quarter of 2014 and into first half of 2015 once the current corrective selling has abated. Here's why.

Look for huge volume and accumulation in gold and silver over the next few weeks and in some high quality junior mining stocks. Negative capitulation followed by strong accumulation could be the indicator that the smart money expects gold and silver to bottom. The question for many is when this will occur. It should be soon as this correction in the junior miners has been one of the worst and longest in decades providing possibly a once in a generation buying opportunity.

Gold has been mired in a descending triangle over the past year or so. From a technical perspective, such triangles are likely to be continuation patterns. Gold fundamentals have recently worsened a bit with the most obvious headwind being the continued strength in the U.S. dollar, but this isn’t the only indicator that has turned more bearish lately. This article is an update of the indicators we follow.

This article suggests that the Australian and Canadian dollars, and the British pound Sterling, can expect to decline significantly relative to the U.S. dollar in the months ahead and gold to decline even further relative to industrial commodity prices. Here's why.

Given the recent upside breakout in the U.S. dollar I’ve been getting a lot of questions about the reasons behind the strength as well as implications for the stock market. Here are my views on the situation.

...When the USD starts to rise many assume that this is negative for paper gold ETFs such as GLD as well as physical gold. I'm sure you have heard it before, if the USD goes up then gold goes down, and vice versa...but, in reality, this "rule of thumb" isn't the case and, in actuality, it would be impossible for the USD and gold to trade inversely with each other. Let me explain.

You’ve almost certainly seen the chart below over the years – it shows the purchasing power of the US Dollar over time - and it looks terrifying. I call it the "stupid" chart, though, because it is a total misrepresentation of the facts because it isn't telling the full story. Here's why.

Have you ever wondered how dollar bills are made, why currency is too hard to replicate? Check out the infographic below to learn about the process that goes into printing U.S. paper currency.

Once the grip of the fiat “dollar” gives way, and it is slowly losing ground, then the price for gold and silver will find their more natural value - and not until then. When might that happen? It could be weeks, it could be months, maybe even another year or two, but whenever it happens, it is more likely to be an overnight “adjustment.” Plan accordingly.

[No wonder you are confused!] Several technical and fundamental indicators have flashed caution to no avail and this has given way to an uncomfortable tension beneath the surface as investors try to find answers while keeping pace with performance. Below are 10 mixed signals about the near-term direction and theme of the markets.