Wednesday , 25 December 2024

Economic Overviews

Record Low BDI Reflects Slowing Global Trade & Weak Commodity Prices

The global equities markets is not the only place where the China sell-off has had an effect. It has seeped into the global economy, slumping shipping and slowing global trade...[to the point where] the Baltic Dry Index is at an ALL TIME LOW. As the year progresses, it will be interesting to keep an eye on the BDI and track its movement - especially as it relates to China and commodity prices.

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90% Likelihood Of Eurozone Crisis By 2020 – Here’s Why

In the very near future we will finally know the answer to the question, “Is the euro a currency or an experiment?” The changes required to answer that question will be wrenching and horrifically expensive. There are no good answers, only difficult choices about who pays how much and to whom.

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Forecasting Is A Crap Shoot – Period!

If you think the Fed or government agencies know what is going on with the economy, you're mistaken. Government economists are about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Their mistakes and failures are so spectacular you couldn't make them up if you tried.

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This Economic Recovery Is A Grand Illusion – Here Are 8 Reasons Why (+3K Views)

Is this economic recovery real? Well, if you base your observations on how far the Dow has risen since the financial crisis of 2008-2009, the answer would be a yes. However, if you do just a little cursory digging you will notice that this economic recovery is nothing but a grand illusion. The following 8 factors clearly prove that this recovery is not real.

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Could U.S. Trade Deficit Be Real Cause Of Market Turmoil? (+2K Views)

If imports and exports are both falling, that means consumption is weak pretty much everywhere, and weak consumption means slow or negative growth which means lower corporate profits, which, if history is still a valid guide, means less valuable equities, so could it be that the markets are simply figuring this out and revaluing assets accordingly?

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The World Is About To be Turned Upside Down – Winter Is Coming! (+3K Views)

Don’t tie your fortune to a rising market – and I mean any kind of market anywhere on the globe. This is a time to think strategically, stay hedged and diversified, and avoid big directional bets. I think active and hedged management will be the place to be in the coming period. To quote the motto of House Stark in Game of Thrones, winter is coming...

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Red China Is Drowning In A Sea of Red Ink

China is only becoming more indebted, even as its economy slows down. By 2014, China's total debt reached $28 trillion, according to McKinsey & Co. That is roughly half the world's entire debt. In this article we show what's happened to Chinese debt and why people are starting to worry about it.

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