Gold, Silver & Other Commodities

The World Gold Council released its “Gold Demand Trends” report for Q1/2025. Gold demand reached 1,206 tonnes in Q1/2025, a modest 1% rise year-over-year, marking the strongest first quarter since 2016. Investment demand drove the increase, with ETF inflows totaling 226 tonnes and overall investment reaching 552 tonnes, up 170% y/y. Jewellery demand dropped 21% to 380 tonnes, hit by record gold prices. Central bank purchases slowed slightly but remained steady at 244 tonnes. Mine production hit a Q1 record, while recycling dipped. Regional dynamics were mixed, with China and India leading investment demand. The outlook remains uncertain, with economic and geopolitical risks continuing to shape demand patterns across segments.

Gold’s long-term trend has been shaped by inflation, monetary policy, and global economic shifts. Since 2016, the metal has been in a renewed uptrend, surpassing its previous highs. Historical cycles show that when gold moves, it moves fast. With gold now above its inflation-adjusted highs of $2,700, a sustained breakout above $3,000 could signal the next phase of its rally. Technical levels suggest that once gold clears key resistance zones, $4,000 may be the next significant target. This article examines gold’s historical patterns and key price levels, offering insights into what may be ahead for the precious metal.

Earlier today Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made the surprising announcement of the return to the gold standard saying, “The safest way for the economy to proceed is through a new system that holds more accountability for the U.S. dollar and its value in the global markets.”

A gift of physical silver will be especially attractive this Christmas because, not only is it a statement of gifting value in a time of inflation, but you are giving a gift that will likely jump in value in 2022. You will be buying something cheap, and those gifted will be astounded about your foresight and their benefits.

Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) has reported strong financial results for Q4 2024, driven by double-digit growth in gold bullion and jewelry sales. Gold bullion has become a key contributor to Costco's e-commerce growth, with sales helping to boost comparable e-commerce sales by 18.9%. The company also reported a 9% year-over-year increase in net income, alongside a 40-basis-point improvement in gross margins. Additionally, Costco raised its membership fees in September 2024 and continued its global expansion with 14 new store openings, further strengthening its market position.

If you are holding U.S. dollars in a savings account, CD or money-market fund, you are slowly losing what you have saved or inherited and within a few short years you could lose the bulk of what is remaining. It is being done in such a way that most people don't notice. The hidden tax of inflation has been robbing you for quite some time and the pace and severity of this theft is increasing rapidly. If I sound alarmist, it is with intention.

Eric Sprott, co-founder of Sprott Money, shared his insights into the gold and silver markets, predicting that gold could reach $3,000 per ounce and silver $50 by year-end. While gold has recently hit record highs, silver has lagged behind despite a 20% supply shortage. Sprott remains optimistic about undervalued gold and silver stocks like Discovery Silver and Free Gold Ventures. He also highlights silver's rising demand, driven by sectors like electric vehicles and new technologies. Sprott emphasizes the importance of staying informed, as global market shifts and government actions will significantly impact the precious metals landscape.

A soaring gold price is a vote of "no confidence" in the central bank and the dollar [and]... reflect a growing restlessness with the increasing money supply, our budgetary and trade deficits, our unfunded liabilities, and the inability of Congress and the administration to reign in runaway spending. Words: 1911

“Every portfolio should have a 10% core holding of gold and silver as emergency money” was the simple and timeless message in Glen O. Kirsch conveyed 33 years ago in an article entitled: “What’s in Your Core Holdings?” and such a message is even more appropriate today given the unsettling fiscal, economic and investment environment. Words: 692

...Our gold price prediction for the coming years is directionally bullish. Some periods of weakness with gold price pullbacks may be expected... Our gold price targets are as follows: