Gold

As highlighted in an earlier article 92 analysts were on record as expecting gold to reach $3,000/ozt. to as much as $50,000/ozt. in the next few years but, unfortunately, 2 prominent forecasters have died in the past month without seeing their expectations realized. How many more will die before their predictions become a reality? Time will tell.

I saw an article recently that says that gold's going to $5,000 based on the Fed easing its interest rate raising cycle. History proves this to be an absolutely false hope. Let me explain.

Can gold actually protect your portfolio from a tumbling stock market? We turned to the data for an answer and the infographic below shows the 10 biggest declines in the S&P 500 since 1970 and compares them with gold price movements during the same time. 

Gold has a long held reputation as a hedge against an uncertain or failing economy but does having gold in your investment portfolio provide meaningful protection during a recession? We decided to dig into the data for a definitive answer and present below an infographic that shows the eight U.S. recessions since 1970 along with S&P 500 data (a proxy for the stock market) with the performance of gold prices that provides a clear answer.

The balance of data in hand suggests the risk-reward is skewed to the upside, but the risk of a lower low remains in both the metals and miners, especially if 1900 in gold is broken. Jackson Hole could be the trigger.

Gold has long been viewed as the “safe-haven asset” - one that can protect investors against the ravages of stock market crashes - but does gold’s safe-haven reputation still hold up? Can gold actually protect your portfolio from a tumbling stock market? The infographic below shows the 10 biggest declines in the S&P 500 since 1970 and compares them with gold price movements during the same time.

Fortunately for gold investors, the spike in real yields may be coming to an end. The Fed is slowing down its rate hikes and CPI has fallen significantly. When real yields stagnate or revert, it will be like lifting a 100-pound sack from the back of the gold price.

There’s a 99% chance of a recession within the next 12 months and this places gold, which is as heralded the best safeguard against economic turmoil, in the spotlight for at least this year and in 2024. In addition, this article highlights four further reasons why a bullish outlook for precious metals remains intact over a longer horizon. 

The time has now come for the 99.5% of financial assets which are not invested in gold, silver or precious metals mining stocks to grab both the investment and wealth preservation opportunity of a life time. Making that decision before it is too late is likely to determine your financial and also general wellbeing for the rest of your life!

This article provides my answers to various questions about gold, inflation, and the Federal Reserve.