Valuation-based forecasting models leave little doubt that stocks are priced to deliver very poor long-term returns and the cyclical bull market from 2009 is an extreme move that will almost certainly be followed by a violent correction. [Let me explain.] Words: 701

The economic news is not very encouraging these days. Everywhere I've looked, and I've looked at 10 different indicators (surveys, polls and indexes), things appear to be either down or stagnant. Let me be more explicit. Words: 1058

I read article after article on physical gold and silver, gold and silver ETFs and gold and silver mining company stocks but nary a one (other than those written by me) on the long-term warrants associated with a few of those companies. That is unfortunate because those who are in the know, and have taken advantage of the significant leverage warrants offer over any other precious metals investment alternatives, have done extremely well over the past 2 years and are positioned to achieve even greater returns on their dollars deployed here in 2011. Let me take this opportunity to enlighten you on the wonderful rewarding world of warrants. Words: 1569

Mark Spitznagel...warned the other day that the S&P 500 could lose 40% of its value in the next couple of years. So what black swan event could cause the S&P 500 to drop down to 760? [Let's take a closer look.] Words: 856

At present the USD is at yet another major inflection point and what it does from here will have direct implications for U.S. investors, not only asset allocation (bonds, stocks, commodities, currencies) but also sector allocation (cyclicals, non-cyclicals). [Let's take a closer look at the situation.] Words: 2102

Historically the price of gold rises when there’s an increasing percentage of federal revenues going to pay interest on the national debt and...declines when US interest payments move down as a percentage of federal revenues. [Given what is currently unfolding,]...the forecast for the price of gold is simply up, up and away. [Let me show you in graphic form.] Words: 451

Hot headlines about the Dow “storming back soon,” soaring to the “Next Stop, Dow 20,000” is nothing more than a new cycle of irrational exuberance. After losing an inflation-adjusted 20% the last decade, a prediction that the Dow will roar back 80% anytime soon is misleading, pure speculative hype. Reminds me of book titles like “Dow 36,000” and “Dow 100,000” back in 1999 - and memories of those mutual funds selling with absurd multiples over 40, with annual returns in excess of 100%. Worse than the tulip-bulb mania of the 1590s. What’s really roaring back is hype, happy talk and irrational exuberance. Words: 531

In the past 20 years, the US economy has grown nearly 60 percent. This huge increase in productivity is partly due to automation, the internet, and other improvements in efficiency but it's also the result of Americans working harder—often without a big boost to their bottom lines. Oh, and meanwhile, corporate profits are up 20 percent. [Let me show you exactly what I mean.] Words: 550

This article will give you a better understanding of the differences in each of the more popular gold stock indices (HUI, XAU, GDX, XGD and CDNX) and how they should be used in conjunction with the price of gold to determine the future movement of gold bullion and gold and silver mining stocks and warrants. Words: 1414

The odds of returning [to] the gloom-and-doom scenario of 2008 is quite unlikely but [I have identified several events which could occur and derail your portfolio unless they are closely monitored. Here they are.] Words: 674