Inflation does not reliably depend on employment so what other model could we depend on? Check out the model below that I have developed which strongly suggests core inflation has stabilized at around 2.2%.

Getting the inflation call right is one of the most important decisions an investor can make today. This article explains how the U.S. inflation outlook is becoming clearer with the use of a number of charts.

There was a time when U.S. central bankers worried that inflation was too high, and they tried to bring it down. Now the opposite is true: the Federal Reserve is concerned that inflation has remained stubbornly low, and it’s trying to boost prices. The reason: persistently low inflation raises the risk that prices will actually start to decline. That’s bad news because it makes people less willing to borrow and spend—anticipating lower prices, consumers will put off spending—and could also lead to a fall in wages.

We are not yet hoarding toilet paper and baked beans, but the prospect that we will be driven to do so has already been signalled to us. This article draws on the evidence of extreme overvaluations in equities and bonds worldwide, and concludes the explanation lies increasingly in a greater perception of risk against holding cash, or bank deposits.

4 patterns are developing that also happened just prior to the great financial crisis of 2008 and, as such, provide strong evidence that a deflationary financial collapse is right around the corner.

In spite of the indications presented here I'm willing to bet that both growth and inflation will prove to be even higher than expected in the years to come. Here's why.

Deflation is often considered a highly unfavorable phenomenon, however there are different types of deflation that have different implications. In other words, the effects of deflation depend to a large extent on the particular context...This article distinguishes between good deflation and bad deflation.

Unlike a number of countries in Europe the U.S. is currently not dealing with general price declines but, that being said, the risks of such an occurrence have increased materially. This article outlines a number of such deflationary risks and how they might impact the U.S. economy.

Should we be concerned when tepid economic growth and low inflation are accompanied by increasing public and private debt? Are we borrowing just to stay alive? [As I see it,] national governments will increase national debt loads in order to stay in power until one or more of them default. Then their will be financial panic which will most certainly be deflationary. Here's why.

This article takes a look at the expected trends in the price of oil, cost of living and currency wars and how they most likely will impact inflation.