People ask me all the time where the price of gold is headed. I do not pretend to know, especially in the short-term. However, I understand the fundamentals and Roubini clearly doesn't, nor does he have a clue about money or what causes economic growth...In fact, having just read Nouriel Roubini's seven point analysis on the Bursting of the Gold Bubble, I am of the opinion that he doesn't get even one of the seven points correct. In this article I offer a point-by-point rebuttal.
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Japan: A Country On the Brink of Fiscal & Economic Disaster!
I wrote several years ago that Japan is a bug in search of a windshield and in January I wrote that 2013 is the Year of the Windshield. Japan is a country that is on the brink of fiscal and economic disaster
Read More »What Must Happen for Bull Market in Gold, Silver & PM Stocks to Resume? (+2K Views)
Precious metals - Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium and there respective mining shares - have failed to sustain any rebound despite tremendously supportive sentiment amid an extreme oversold condition. Nevertheless, we believe that the bottom is in and a rebound should begin very soon. The question though is, "What will the driving force be for a sustainable rebound which will evolve into a new cyclical bull market?" Below are several options to be considered and my assessment as to which it will be - and why.
Read More »What Is “The Carry Trade” & Why Is It So Misunderstood? (+2K Views)
These days any time anyone shorts the yen—or any currency with below average interest rates for that matter—it gets referred to by some strategist or equity investor as ‘the carry trade’ - but it is wrong. Below is a clear description of what a carry trade is - and isn't - and why it is so prevasively misunderstood. Words: 714
Read More »Roubini: Falling Commodity Prices are Signs of Weaknesses In…
While falling commodity prices are beneficial to countries that are net energy and commodity importers they actually may be signals of weaknesses in the growth of the global economy and economic weakness across the globe.
Read More »8 Reasons Why Gold Crashed & Will Likely Continue to Decline
In my article of April 5th, posted here, I maintained that in the next year, and particularly for the next three to six months, a liquidation phase in the current cyclical bear market in gold would likely develop,,,[causing gold to] fall sharply. [Below are the 8 reasons I mentioned back then which still remain relevant today.]
Read More »Gold: What Caused the Latest Bloodbath & Why
Right now gold has no friends. Even some of its biggest proponents are declaring the bull market to be over...Let’s kick around a ‘short list’ of potential reasons for what caused the latest bloodbath. Words: 1170
Read More »What We Like & Don’t Like About Gold
Whenever a sharp and unexpected correction occurs after many years of gains, one is forced to take a step back and consider whether the bull market has breathed its last. Frankly, we don't think it has, but the best way to go about this exercise is to consider legitimate bearish arguments. Words: 1853
Read More »Gold Bugs: Look Out Below! Gold Could Drop to $1,000 (+2K Views)
Gold bugs: look out below! I think gold could fall to $1000 or even less as it realigns with other commodity prices. Words: 865; Charts: 4
Read More »What Does the Future Hold for Gold? 3 Determinants
The best way to think of gold is as a non-yielding currency with a special trait: The only way to "print" it is to pull it out of the earth at great cost. As a currency with no yield and limited practical use...gold's investment case largely rests on its ability to insure against currency depreciation. Few people expect to make money by taking out insurance policies. I don't recommend allocating any more than 10% of a portfolio to gold. Words: 610
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