As investors become more and more worried about the world economy...it makes sense to us to look into stocks that held up best in periods of market decline. Managing risk is as important as reaching for return. One aspect of managing for risk is the past behavior of particular stocks in negative market periods. Toward that end, we identified four key, recent down periods for the S&P 500, and identified those liquid stocks that were in the top quartile for price return in each of those four periods, and did at least as well as the S&P 500 index in the 2008 crash period. [Take a look!] Words: 620
Read More »The 35 Best Performing Stocks So Far in 2012 in the Russell 3,000 Index
The Russell 3,000 is currently up 4.97% year to date, yet the average stock in the index is up 3.98% so far in 2012. This means that the bigger stocks in the market cap weighted index have been doing better than the smaller stocks. Below is a list of the 35 best performing Russell 3,000 stocks year to date, which are all up more than 75%. There are 16 stocks in the index that are up more than 100% year to date. Words: 278
Read More »Panic/Euphoria Model Is In "Panic" Territory – So Where’s the Fear? (+2K Views)
With stocks declining in the last few weeks all the various sentiment surveys point to excessive bearishness/excessive fear. That's in spite of the fact that market based indicators such as the VIX Index are not showing very much fear at all. While this market is deeply oversold and due for a relief rally, these readings are suggestive that there is more downside before we see an intermediate term bottom. [Let me explain.] Words: 290
Read More »This New 'Peak Fear' Indicator Gives You an Investment Edge
We are at a major crossroads in the equity and bond markets. We could see a major 'risk-on' rally in the S&P 500 BUT if no equity rally ensues, and U.S. Treasury note yields keep falling, then something terrible is about to strike at the heart of the global capital markets.... [As such, it is imperative that you keep a close eye on this new 'Peak Price' indicator. Let me explain.] Words: 450
Read More »Marc Faber: We Could Have a Crash Like in 1987! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Marc Faber has stated in an interview* on Bloomberg Television that “I think the market will have difficulties to move up strongly unless we have a massive QE3 (something Faber thinks would "definitely occur" if the S&P 500 dropped another 100 to 150 points. If it bounces back to 1,400, he said, the Fed will probably wait to see how the economy develops)..... If the market makes a new high, it will be with very few stocks pushing up and the majority of stocks having already rolled over....If it moves and makes a high above 1,422, the second half of the year could witness a crash, like in 1987.” Words: 708
Read More »Pento: Markets Will Fall Significantly This Summer – Here's Why
Investors are being told that the worsening sovereign debt crisis in Europe will leave the U.S. economy unscathed....[because,] since we don’t make many things to export to Europe, our GDP won’t suffer a significant decline at all.... What [has been] conveniently overlooked, [however'] is the fact that 40% of S&P 500 earnings are derived from foreign economies and the seventeen countries that make up the Eurozone have collapsed into recession. [Let me explain what effect that will have on the performance of the S&P 500 this summer.] Words: 325
Read More »Charles Nenner: Dow to Peak in 2012 and Then Decline to 5,000! (+2K Views)
Charles Nenner has been accurately predicting movements in the liquid markets for more than 25 years, and his most recent cycle analysis predicts that the current stock market rally is going to last through Q2 and then begin a major descent in 2013 – with the Dow eventually reaching 5,000! Read on to learn how Nenner’s unique system works and what he forecasts for commodities, currencies, bonds, interest rates and more. Words: 400
Read More »We're at the "Beginning of the End" for the Markets – Here's Why
We are now at the mercy of oil and the commodity markets. Bernanke's plan to print our way to prosperity is destined to fail. Ultimately, he is just going to spike inflation and collapse the global economy, resulting in a worse downturn than what we saw in 2008/09. Let me explain. Words: 510
Read More »Ignore Guru Opinions: 66% Get It WRONG More Than 50% of the Time! Here’s How They Compare (+2K Views)
Can experts, whether self-proclaimed or endorsed by others (publications), provide reliable stock market timing guidance? Do some experts clearly show better intuition about overall market direction than others? [NO is the answer to the first question and YES to the second. Let us explain how we came to those conclusions.] Words:360
Read More »Ian Campbell Comments on the World vs. Market Reality Disconnect & the "Nerds on Wall Street"
The world is on the verge of becoming a cauldron of Disorder [y]et the market is orderly for now and people refuse to fully acknowledge it. This inability to compartmentalize the "world reality" from the "market reality" is costing investors money. The world isn't likely to end well in the not too distant future but for now the market is doing just fine. Words: 610
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