Base

This time is far worse than any other modern recession. What we are seeing now is a depression, despite what the NBER would have you believe. If you are still looking for the “Big One” to happen, you are too late. It happened here and it is still happening here and in Europe. They, like us, have tried to paper over most of the effects of the boom-bust business cycle malinvestment, and they have failed and the piper is at their door [as it is here in the U.S.]. The current economic “good news”, this supposed "recovery", is largely based on fiat money steroids and will not last without continuous injections of new fiat money into the economy. [Let me explain.] Words: 2300

Do not expect the gold mining sector to go up as a whole. Do not expect gold miners to leverage the gold price. The stock price appreciation will all depend upon the individual stock's prospects and management competence, as in how the general market rates other investment vehicles as a whole. [Let me explain.] Words: 687

The smart people are (buying gold) and more and more people are waking up to it. So the people that are going to survive and thrive are going to be the ones that are prepared, the ones that are going to see history before it happens and get ready for it and there are very few.

At present, the underlying fundamentals could not be much worse for the U.S. dollar. Beyond trade, the key factors, relative to other major currencies, could not be much worse. Despite any political and financial hype in the markets, the U.S. economy is relatively weaker, interest rates are lower, inflation is higher and fiscal policy and political stability all are relatively much worse than are seen relative to the other major currencies.

A major portion of the U.S. dollar's valuation stems from its lock on the oil industry and if it loses its position as the global reserve currency the value of the dollar will decline and gold will rise. Iran's migration to a non-dollar based international trade system is the testing of the waters of a non-USD regime...transition to a world in which the U.S. Dollar suddenly finds itself irrelvant. [Let me explain.] Words: 1200

Whatever their reasons, the number of investors wanting exposure to gold is increasing. Many who ignored it a decade ago are now buying. Those who started buying, say, five years ago, continue purchasing it today in spite of paying twice what they paid then. Slowly but surely, it's becoming more important to more people...but what happens when it becomes a must-own asset to a substantial majority instead of a small minority? Sure, the price will rise, probably parabolically, but putting aside speculation on the price of gold for now, have you thought about what happens if you have trouble finding any actual, physical gold to buy? [Let's explore that possibility and what that would mean for gold stocks in such an eventuality.] Words: 870

Gold price swings occur somewhat predictably [month after month and] year after year. What causes this, to what magnitude does it occur and most importantly – how can we profit? [Let me answer those questions.] Words: 890

For the bulls yesterday's news of a much higher-than-anticipated jump in consumer borrowing is yet more proof that the recovery is on track. [For the bears it is outright confirmation that America's spending is setting it up for a major financial crash! Let me explain.] Words: 527

For the uniformed on Wall Street and in Washington, the growing tide of red ink is a signal that America is returning to normalcy. The only problem with that is our so called ‘normalcy’ is rapidly leading us into insolvency. The sad truth is that our desire to consume foreign made goods, with money that is borrowed, is evidence that our country is growing weaker by the day.

The primary obstacle to economic recovery is widespread insolvency among households and banks (meaning liabilities exceed assets). A consumer who is broke cannot spend, and a bank that is broke cannot lend. Devaluing the dollar would reduce the real value of the debt (increase the nominal value of the assets), rendering millions of households and most banks instantly solvent. [Let me explain.] Words: 590