The developed economies of the world have opened the money spigots…[and this] massive money and credit creation is sitting in the banking system like dry tinder just waiting for a spark to set it ablaze. How quickly it happens is anyone’s guess, but once it does we are likely to be enveloped in a worldwide inflation unlike anything before ever witnessed. [Let me explain further.]
The world is now three to four years past the financial crisis and is still printing money at rates that would make John Law proud. There is no more talk of “exit strategies” by the Federal Reserve or other Central Banks. That will not happen because there is no way to stop printing. Slowing down the rate of printing would plunge the world into a massive recession (for those who believe we have ever gotten out of the last one). Liquidating credit would produce a worldwide Depression.
John Williams of Shadowstats.com warned [see here] that “The seasonally-adjusted St. Louis Fed Adjusted Monetary Base just jumped to an historic high level in the two-week period ended February 22nd, as shown in the [graph to the right below] which is suggestive of a deepening systemic solvency crisis.
Adding liquidity to the system usually is contrary to the action that would be taken if the Fed were trying to reduce inflation. Indeed, the Fed is not trying to reduce inflation—despite inflation running significantly above its 2.0% inflation target—instead, the U.S. central bank continues its efforts to provide liquidity to a still severely-impaired U.S. banking system.
The political authorities have no intention of either cutting spending or cutting deficits. Frankly, they have no political will or courage to do either. Hence, growth in the money supply will continue. In order to have any hope of continuing the economic charade, ever larger doses of money will be required to maintain just the anemic economic activity that we have now.”
Unfortunately for the political class (and us), markets don’t care about politics or political careers. Goods and services trade in relative terms with other goods and services. of which fiat money is merely another good/service. At some point, the world will recognize that money is plentiful relative to real goods and services. Then all real goods and services will trade for more of the plentiful commodity, fiat money, than previously. This is what is called price inflation and it will roar.
Economics is not engineering so it is impossible to say when or just how much inflation will occur. From the numbers above, one could say that about 16% per year was added by the Fed last year. Since the beginning of the crisis, Fed credit has more than tripled. So, there is a couple of a hundred percent “baked in” since 2007. Those numbers are approximations only.
Once people get spooked, their willingness to hold money will decline (the velocity of money will expand). It is this latter phenomenon that moves a country from very high inflation into hyperinflation. An arbitrary definition of hyperinflation might be in excess of 50% per month.
What would you do if your food bill was increasing by 50% per month and the purchasing power of your savings/pension/fixed income contracts was declining by 50% per month? It doesn’t take but a few months for someone unprepared and well-off to become impoverished.
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The U.S. economic and systemic-solvency crises of the last four years only have been precursors to the coming Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. Outside timing on the hyperinflation remains 2014, but there is strong risk of a currency catastrophe beginning to unfold in the months ahead…moving into a full blown hyperinflation [in a few] months to a year… depending on the developing global view of the dollar and reactions of the U.S. government and the Federal Reserve. [Let me go into more detail.] Words: 2726
The U.S. economy is in an intensifying inflationary recession that eventually will evolve into a hyperinflationary great depression… [at which time] a $100 bill in the United States will become worth more as functional toilet paper/tissue than as currency. The U.S. government and Federal Reserve already have committed the system to this course through the easy politics of a bottomless pocketbook, the servicing of big-moneyed special interests, and gross mismanagement. The article is long but well worth the read. Words: 3565
Pushing the big problems into the future appears to have been the working strategy for both the Fed and recent Administrations, yet the U.S. dollar and the budget deficit do matter, and the future is at hand. The day of ultimate financial reckoning has arrived, and it is playing out. Words: 1096
In our estimation, the most likely time frame for a full-fledged outbreak of hyperinflation in America is between the years 2013 and 2015 [based on 12 warning signs that are on the horizon.] Americans who wait until 2013 to prepare, will most likely see the majority of their purchasing power wiped out. It is essential that all Americans begin preparing for hyperinflation immediately. Words: 2065
It is my view that the world has entered a new boom-bust cycle driven by oil prices. Oscillating oil prices – as opposed to credit cycles – will repeatedly stimulate and crash the highly levered global economy. Governments have not recognized this new cycle, and as part of a fruitless effort to retain control over deteriorating real growth and rising unemployment central banks will print more and more money, risking a hyperinflationary depression (stagflation at best). [As such,] the only respite for many investors is gold. [Let me explain.] Words: 925
Evidence shows that the U.S. money supply trend is in the early stages of hyperbolic growth coupled with a similar move in the price of gold. All sign point to a further escalation of money-printing in 2012…followed by unexpected and accelerating price inflation, followed by a rise in nominal interest rates that will bring a sovereign debt crisis for the U. S. dollar with it as the cost of borrowing for the government escalates…[Let me show you the evidence.] Words: 660
Economists are telling central banks to accelerate monetary growth even faster…to avoid a bank balance sheet implosion with all the deflationary consequences that implies. [As such,] the prospects for 2012, and thereafter, are for Total Money Supply to continue its hyperbolic trend – and when such a trend becomes established it becomes almost impossible to stop because the whole debt-based economy and the banking system would collapse. [Let me explain further.] Words: 550
There is a difference between inflation and hyperinflation…and there is no gradual path from one to the other. To wind up with true hyperinflation, some very bad things have to happen. The government has to completely lose control… the populace has to completely lose faith in the system… or both at the same time. [Are we there yet? Let’s take a look.] Words: 1188
Unlike the credit crisis that triggered the last major stock market collapse … the “Fiscal Armageddon” that could “dwarf 2008″ will be intensely personal. Millions of Americans will face the specter of lost incomes … lost savings … lost buying power … lost homes … lost liberty. View the video for all the details.
The economic condition of the country continues to decline toward its rendezvous with an, as yet, unknowable catastrophe. Here is… a look (not a prediction) at a series of not improbable events that could develop [and which] would change our economic world overnight. Words: 1550
The Federal Reserve is now trying to figure out ways to boost inflation expectations… so that Americans are encouraged to spend more before their money is worth less. Unfortunately, not only will their money soon be worth less, it will literally become worthless! Words: 904
The National Inflation Association (NIA) believes it is very unlikely that our representatives in Washington will have the political backbone and courage to implement any of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform’s proposed cuts in domestic and defense expenditures and increases in tax revenues. [Instead, as the NIA sees it,] the U.S. is on a path towards exploding budget deficits in the years ahead that could cause an outbreak of hyperinflation by the end of calendar year 2015. Words: 887
Boston University economist, Prof. Kotlikoff, maintains that the U.S. cannot end its fiscal crisis by doubling taxes, as the International Monetary Fund suggests, or further stimulus spending [as Bernanke is doing] because it will simply increase the debt. [Instead he has some radical proposals of his own.] Words: 704
If our assessment is correct, over the coming years, stocks, precious metals, commodities and real-estate will appreciate in value versus paper currencies. Furthermore, on a relative basis, we expect precious metals and commodities to outperform all other asset-classes. Conversely, we anticipate that cash and fixed income instruments will probably turn out to be the worst assets to own over the next decade. Words: 869
It is an old saying that the “road to hell is paved with good intentions”. Well, in recent years, that road has been changed to a super-highway! America was put on that super-highway a few years ago and right now we are traveling at break-neck speed toward the financial abyss. Words: 1132
While I believe that the US is heading towards a Weimar style hyperinflationary depression there are several developments that point to the possibility of another deflationary depression, similar to the 1930’s. Words: 858
Some people consider a rise in overall prices of 10 percent per month (which implies an annual rate of price increases of around 214 percent) as hyperinflation; others indentify hyperinflation as a monthly price rise of at least 20 percent (which implies an annual increase in prices of nearly 792 percent). Words: 1353
Mladjenovic explains his contention that we are in for a inflationary depression and, as such, investors should put their money in those things that will benefit from both inflation and strong demand and supply and stay away from where there is a deflationary impact, such as real estate. Words: 825