"The U.S., with $15 trillion in debt, and roughly $1.5 trillion in tax revenues, is an enormous disaster waiting to happen. At 10% interest rates the U.S. would use 100% of its tax revenues to finance the debt....This is why money printing is guaranteed...and this time, like it has before, it will lead to a financial crash [which] will be of a worldwide magnitude.”
Read More »BMO: We’re On the Verge of the Next Bull Market! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
BMO chief investment strategist Brian Belski went on Bloomberg TV yesterday and made a huge call: he told viewers that "we're on the verge of the next great bull market" in stocks ( see video here) outlining his bullish thesis based on 16 economic and market indicators he factored into his call which can be seen here.
Read More »Fiscal Cliff Scenario Analysis of the 4 Possible Election Alternatives & Their Financial Implications (+2K Views)
This post shows JPMorgan's estimated probabilities on four different fiscal cliff outcomes, conditional on who wins the presidential election in November.
Read More »Here's How to Invest – and Thrive – Should Nouriel Roubini's 'Perfect Storm' Engulf Us
Back in May of 2012 Nouriel Roubini (aka Dr. Doom) predicted that slowing growth in the United States, growing debt troubles in Europe, a slowdown in China, and intensifying political gridlock with Iran would come together to create a “Perfect Storm” for the world economy. Below we outline three ETFs that could thrive as global economic growth expectations deteriorate, keeping in mind that virtually no asset class will be safe if the “Perfect Storm” actually strikes. Words: 606
Read More »More on the Coming ‘Perfect’ Financial Storm from Peter Schiff (+2K Views)
The perfect storm is the real fiscal cliff that we’re going to go over. The real fiscal cliff is when we can’t borrow any more money because our creditors wake up to the fact that we’re no good for the debt and interest rates start to rise.
Read More »Why is Nouriel Roubini Called Doctor Doom? Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Nouriel Roubini is known for his pessimistic views on the health of the global economy and his nickname is Doctor Doom. Bloomberg TV recently put together a short video highlighting Roubini's most bold and sharpest quotes from the past year, which is definitely worth a watch (see here).
Read More »There is NOTHING Wrong With Outsourcing or Free Trade. Here's Why
Outsourcing is a good thing, despite our two presidential opponents excoriating each other over it.... Trade xenophobia is a political tool to divert blame from where it belongs - government - [and]...politicians who talk about “fair” trade are just trying to justify more protectionism...[which] always make people poorer rather than MORE prosperous. [Let me explain.] Words: 430
Read More »Here's the Complete Picture Regarding Natural Gas
New gas technology such as hydraulic fracturing (fracking) and horizontal drilling have changed the complexion of natural gas in North America. This infographic explores natural gas, its properties, natural gas market dynamics, supply forecasts, demand, the shale revolution, and the switch from coal to natural gas. We also raise questions about methane leakage and hydraulic fracturing.
Read More »Recent Data Suggest a Tidal Wave of Foreclosures is Coming! Here's Why
The real estate market had started to stabilize on signs that foreclosure inventory was decreasing but a rise in foreclosure starts suggests that a tidal wave of foreclosures is building, especially in states with a judicial foreclosure process.
Read More »The Fiscal Cliff: Everything You Need To Know About It & Its Implications
The U.S. federal government is scheduled to implement a fiscal tightening of unprecedented severity (approx. 5% of GDP) at the start of 2013. The last time a tightening of such proportions occurred (3% of GDP in 1969) it presaged a recession. Thus, unless mitigated by an act of Congress, we expect the fiscal cliff would lead the U.S. into a recession in 2013. Below, in 26 charts, we examine all aspects of the impending crisis to gauge its potential impact on the credit markets and, by extension, our strategic investment recommendations.
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