Investing

The Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio, abbreviated as CAPE, or the more precise P/E10, closely tracks the real (inflation-adjusted) price of the S&P Composite. After dropping to 13.3 in March 2009, the P/E10 has rebounded to 23.0. The historical average is 16.39 raising concerns about the current price level of the S&P Composite. Let me explain. Words: 1298

There are different ways to interpret corporate profits and different ways to measure them [and in this article I substantiate] my belief that profits are quite strong and that the market is almost certainly not overestimating their value [unlike other analysts who, in articles here and here, and using different criteria, have come to different conclusions. Please read all the various points of view and come to your own conclusions.] Words: 646

A number of secondary indicators are showing worrisome negative divergences... indicating that the risk-reward tradeoff [for stocks] is becoming increasingly unfavorable. [As such,] the prospect of selling in May and going away is starting to sound good right now. [Let me explain.] Words: 536

Martin Armstrong, considered to be one of the best - if not the best - market prognosticator in history, had maintained until recently that the price of gold would correct sideways to down into the next bottom of his Economic Confidence Model into June 13, 2011. In a new article that appears to be an apparent response to a recent editorial* I wrote he seems to have changed his position somewhat. Let me explain. Words: 1979

While a few mainstream outlets...acknowledge gold’s stellar run, most remain skeptical or outright bearish and the blasphemy they purport is that gold is in a bubble. Let’s settle it, right now, and shut these naysayers up. What bubble? Words: 670

The world of warrants is the best kept investment secret around. No one seems to realize that long-term (LT) gold and silver warrants were up 140% and 92%, respectively, in 2009 and 2010 in U. S. dollar terms. Investment and financial writers go on and on about gold being such a great investment these days but gold was up "only" 24% and 30%, respectively, during the same time frame. Isn't it time investors, analysts and commentators conveyed the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth when it comes to investing in gold bullion and gold-related securities? This article will do just that! Words: 1164

The gold bull is now on the verge of launching the most spectacular up-leg of this 10 year bull market. This spring we should see the final parabolic rally of the massive C-wave advance that began in April `09...[taking gold up a further 15% or so to approx. $1650, silver up a further 40-45% to as high as $50 and the HUI up to somewhere between 800 and 900 (i.e. +40-60%). Let me explain the specifics:] Words: 1216

As the global economy becomes increasingly unstable investors all over the world are flocking to gold and silver which has sent the price of gold to a record high. With many analysts projecting that prices for precious metals will continue to soar throughout 2011 investors are euphoric. Does that mean, though, that everyone should just suddenly jump into gold and silver? No, it does not. Precious metals are not for everyone. Just like any other kind of investing, it is absolutely crucial that you get educated before you get involved. Below are 10 things you should know before jumping into the precious metals market. Words: 1156

The S&P 500 has rebounded about 100% in 100 weeks. What crisis? What new normal? The economy is recovering and happy times are back again. Old normal is back. Stocks for the long run! Permabears be damned! The permabulls are back! Rates are low, core inflation is low. It's Goldilocks time! [Hold on, though. That's only half the picture and the other half does not paint such a rosy picture. Let me explain.] Words: 959

Despite gold’s continuous ten-year rise...[which has] produced consistent returns in virtually all currencies year after year, some market pundits still question its validity as an asset class...[but our analysis of the gold market clearly shows that...,] despite all this talk about the gold bubble, the capital flows into gold vis-à-vis other financial assets have simply not been large enough to indicate any speculative mania. [Let us show you the results of our finds.] Words: 1460