Gold

John LaForge, commodities strategist at Ned Davis Research has said that gold should drop about 40% lower than where it is currently trading down to $660 an ounce. I think LaForge is dead wrong and this article argues the reasons why the gold market has not yet peaked and why we are in a counter-trend correction within the long-term bull market.

If I am right about my views going forward then gold isn’t just risky based on past performance, but it could be even riskier in the future as the "faith put" subsides and the myth that “gold is money” disappears.

An analysis of the ratio between the market capitalization of gold and the gross world product over the past 63 years suggests that the current price for gold has further to fall and that it would not be wise to begin buying gold until prices have fallen below at least $1100 - and not expect gold to appreciate beyond $2,000 any time soon. Here's why.

Look for huge volume and accumulation in gold and silver over the next few weeks and in some high quality junior mining stocks. Negative capitulation followed by strong accumulation could be the indicator that the smart money expects gold and silver to bottom. The question for many is when this will occur. It should be soon as this correction in the junior miners has been one of the worst and longest in decades providing possibly a once in a generation buying opportunity.

No one can outguess the elites' sustainability of power and control over the entire financial system, including their influence over the price of gold, and, as such, this precludes anyone from being able to intelligibly articulate "when" there will be a transition from "down" to "up" in the price of gold and silver. Unfortunately, as things currently stand, the elites continue to win the majority of the battles, and so control the war. Let me explain why that is the case.

Things just took a turn for the worst, and there is no turnaround in sight. Unless and until demand enters the picture, price will continue lower until it finds demand sufficient to effect a change. For right now, there is no demand apparent. What else can be said. This is like watching a car teetering on the edge of the cliff, waiting to see if/when it falls. The trend is down, and that is all you need to know!

In spite of the June 2014 pop [I expect to see]...a dip to below the $1190/oz level at some point between now and the end of the month. Here's why.

Gold has been mired in a descending triangle over the past year or so. From a technical perspective, such triangles are likely to be continuation patterns. Gold fundamentals have recently worsened a bit with the most obvious headwind being the continued strength in the U.S. dollar, but this isn’t the only indicator that has turned more bearish lately. This article is an update of the indicators we follow.

I see various signs that indicate that gold bulls may have to endure one more capitulation to the downside before the next leg of the bull market begins. In what follows I identify what could send the gold price lower and suggest some investment strategies to consider.

Time is running out for all the 2014 enthusiasts that are calling for higher prices in gold and silver by year-end. The lessons learned from 2013 have been forgotten as not only are prices not beginning to move higher, they are making new recent lows. Incredibly enough, many of these prognosticators are paid pretty well by their subscribers. Lesson to be learned? Absolutely no one can divine the future. Stop listening to what others are saying, and pay attention to what the charts are saying - and below is a summary of just that.