Economy

Conditions are favorable for a strong U.S. stock market performance in the fourth quarter of 2014 and into first half of 2015 once the current corrective selling has abated. Here's why.

The saying, "Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me" suggests that the general populace of America should be very, very ashamed! It is evident that they are prone to being fooled and robbed over and over again as they invest in a fake stock market, are sold over-valued housing and accept scraps of partial employment, food stamps, poverty level social security and poor healthcare from incompetent governance - and then try to escape by using credit and debt to keep up a standard of living without ever acquiring anything of real value.

This article suggests that the Australian and Canadian dollars, and the British pound Sterling, can expect to decline significantly relative to the U.S. dollar in the months ahead and gold to decline even further relative to industrial commodity prices. Here's why.

Given the recent upside breakout in the U.S. dollar I’ve been getting a lot of questions about the reasons behind the strength as well as implications for the stock market. Here are my views on the situation.

History strongly suggests that, rather than a return to a nice, placid world of “normal” interest rates, we are likely to see a continuation of the borrowing binge/asset bubble until real rates spike as a result of either soaring nominal rates soar or plummeting inflation. Here's why that is the case.

The Fed and the bond market are responding appropriately to declining risk aversion and a somewhat improved economic outlook. There is no reason to fear the end of QE or the beginning of higher short-term interest rates. Let me explain further.

A temporary period of deflation will result from the end of the Fed's massive asset purchases followed by a period of inflation that will make the '70s seem like an era of hard money. Here's why.

Much of the conventional economic wisdom prevailing in financial circles - largely subscribed to as a basis for governmental policy, and widely accepted by the media and the public - is based on incomplete analysis, contra-factual assumptions, and false analogy. Below are 15 such fallacies and explanations as to why each is such.

There have been many econoblog posts of the form, "ha, ha, the people predicting inflation have been wrong so far, when will they give up?". Let me try to explain why we know high inflation is coming eventually.

I read hundreds of financial articles every week and most are nothing more than "financial entertainment" - unfounded forecasts, fear mongering or cheer-leading. That being said, there are a number of articles that are absolutely MUST READS if you are to become an informed investor and be in position to understand what is evolving in the financial environment and act accordingly. Introductory paragraphs and links to a number of them are provided in this post.