If we look at the economic collapses of the past, from the fall of the Roman Empire to Weimar Germany to Argentina and Zimbabwe, the pattern is extremely similar. Let's have a look at that pattern and ask ourselves if the present situation might not play out much the same.
Read More »What’s the Difference Between a Recession and a Depression?
There's a big difference between a recession and a depression. Here's everything you need to know about the two economic conditions.
Read More »The Road to Eventual Hyperinflation & Financial/Political Collapse
What I outline below is not a forecast but a potential scenario which I sincerely hope won’t come to pass but the risk of going down the road to political and financial system collapse, social unrest and even civil war, and eventual hyperinflation, is certainly there.
Read More »The Idea Of A “soft landing” Is Impossible – Here’s Why
There is no easy solution. There is no possible painless normalization path. Powell will have to choose between the risk of a global financial meltdown or prolonged inflation.
Read More »An “economic hurricane” is coming!
Between soaring inflation, falling wages, slowing economic growth, and a Fed bent on tightening monetary policy, there is a storm on the horizon. The magnitude, timing, and location of the “economic hurricane” are still anyone’s best guess.
Read More »5 Myths About China’s Economy & Financial System
This article focuses on five myths about China’s economy and its financial system with my hope that offering more realistic assessments will help investors better judge the opportunities and risks of investing in China.
Read More »Look! We’re Peering Into An Economic Abyss!
The global economy is perched on the edge of an abyss, and averting our gaze doesn’t actually lessen the risk, it increases it because problems which aren’t faced directly and addressed directly fester and rot the system from within.
Read More »How Wealth Is Distributed Among Countries of Different Income Levels
Every few years, the World Bank takes on the task of measuring the world's wealth that include endowments of nature, ranging from wilderness to oil wells, as well as the human capital embodied in the education and skills of its people, in addition to the more traditional measurement of based on the value of houses, or the stock market, or retirement accounts.
Read More »Russia-Ukraine War: Implications For Russia, the World & Your Investments
What are the economic implications going to be for Russia and the rest of the world and for your investments regardless of what assets they are allocated to? This post provides insights into that question with links to 10 very interesting articles and charts.
Read More »Ukraine’s Largest Trading Partners & Goods Traded Will Be Irreversibly Impacted
The current Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to reshape geopolitical relations and international trade and to give context to the situation, we’ve created this graphic using IMF and UN Comtrade data to showcase Ukraine’s largest trading partners and goods traded in 2020.
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