Economic Overviews

The value of a currency is determined by a number of variables. In this article, I will focus on the dynamics of demand, supply, current account deficits, and aggregate government debt.

No matter how boring it sounds, all investors must make it a point to track economic indicators to understand the direction in which the nation is headed...[and, in the process,] sharpen [their] investment decisions. Here are the key indicators that you should be tracking:

The financial breakdown the world is about to face over the next few years will be an unprecedented catastrophe

China’s data has always been whatever the government wants the world to think it is but the pandemic elevated China’s data to new and unprecedented levels of deep-fake status all around.

The World Bank is forecasting that 93% of economies will report recessions in 2020 surpassing the previous record of 84% set during the Great Recession.

The conventional wisdom seems to be that the economy will quickly recover once governments open things up again but..NFL Commissioner  Roger Goodell isn’t so confident. 

The current Fear & Greed index is 66 (“Greed”) up from 52 (“Neutral”) last week. The index jumped to “Greed” after spending the last 2 weeks in “Neutral” and the previous seven weeks in the “Fear” zone.

The current Fear & Greed index is 52 and remained in “Neutral” zone for the second week after spending seven weeks in the “Fear” zone.

Which states are best - and least - prepared for a recession such as the one we’ve likely already entered? 

The current Fear & Greed index is 43 and has shifted to “Fear” from last week’s “Extreme Fear”.