Sunday , 28 April 2024

Lorimer Wilson

History Suggests Stocks Should Go Up Approx. 18% in 2011! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

There are plenty of reasons to be concerned about the U.S. economy in 2011 [but not for U.S. stocks if the history of] the Presidential Cycle is any indication. The third year of a president’s [four year] term is typically the strongest producing an average annual gain of 14.12% for the S&P 500 and, under Democratic leadership, that number moves even higher to an average gain of 17.7%! Words: 436

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Upcoming Market Decline Will Be Worse Than Last Time – Here's Why

Bernanke has massively increased the monetary response in an attempt to halt the secular bear, and we know how the last attempt to control the market turned out - we got the second worst recession since the Great Depression and the second worst bear market in history. I fully expect the next leg down in the secular bear to be even worse that the last one - not only in the stock market, but also in the economy. Words: 525

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Europe Has Its PIGS, America Its CAIN and Un(Abel) – Both Will Be Good For Gold

In Europe, they were able to come up with a clever moniker, PIGS, to succinctly represent [and name the countries in dire financial straights - Portugal, Iceland, Ireland, Greece and Spain] the most boorish animals on the farm, and [I have taken it upon myself to call the U.S. state budget crises] the story of CAIN (California, Arizona, Alaska, Illinois, New York and New Jersey), the seven most rotten pillars of our union, and (Un)Abel, the country as a whole, which is (Un)Abel, i.e. unable, to do anything about the impending crises. Given the current political climate and implicit anti-bailout mandate of the new Congress, the Federal government might be powerless to do anything but accept painful state defaults. Before we know it, we could all be ancestors of evil... 2011 could be the year that CAIN starts to face some serious trouble, and may need some serious help to avoid killing his brother (Un)Abel! Words: 1529

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Why Quantitative Easing WILL NOT Help the Economy – But WILL Help Gold and Other Commodities! (+2K Views)

At present, the governors of the Fed are creating massive distortions in the financial markets with little hope of improving real economic growth or employment... Quantitative easing promises to have little effect except to provoke commodity [gold and silver] hoarding, a decline in bond yields to levels that reflect nothing but risk premiums for maturity risk, and an expansion in stock valuations to levels that have rarely been sustained for long (the current Shiller P/E of 22 for the S&P 500 has typically been followed by 5- to 10-year total returns below 5% annually). [Let me explain.] Words: 3066

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Gold: Will It Be "déjà vu- all over again" In The Near Future?

We appear to be at a very interesting juncture in the precious metals sector at this time. As I noted in the last editorial, at this juncture in the 70's fractal gold made a vertical move that would suggest a rise up into the $1,600s over the coming 4 or 5 weeks. Furthermore, I have a potential target for gold to rise up to $1,800 to $2,100 into May/ June of 2011 with a median target of around $1,950. Words: 610

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I’ve Sold My Gold – Should You? (2K Views)

Since the dawn of this financial crisis, my portfolio has included an allocation to gold. I viewed this as an important element of stability and protection and I believed in a longer-term story taking hold. Last week I kissed the precious metal goodbye for now and this is my explanation as to my reasoning. Words: 1382

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Massive Stock Market Selloff Likely in Mid-2011! Here's Why

A major crisis is coming in the first half of 2011 and it could cause a worldwide financial disaster, global market crashes and the destruction of wealth that will make the popping of the dot-com and housing bubbles feel like a mild inconvenience! Why? Because, quite simply, America is playing a dangerous game of “chicken” with its national debt - and the ramifications are extraordinary. Words: 1475

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HUI Stocks About to Kick Up Their Heels!

All indications are that we are at the 3rd wave juncture where the large cap gold and silver producer stocks and intermediate precious metals producer/developer stocks tend to start to move much better, and where the smaller explorer class starts to kick up it's heels. Let me show you what I mean with a few charts that will give you a clear visual of why you ain't seen nothing yet when it come to the future performance of the stocks (and warrants) of gold and silver mining and royalty companies. Words: 1036

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