126 economists, academics, gold analysts and market commentators have been identified as maintaining that gold will reach a parabolic peak price of at least $2,500 a troy ounce (ozt) before the bubble finally pops! Of those 126 prognosticators 86 – yes, 86 – believe gold will reach a high of $5,000 ozt; 52 of those maintain that a price in excess of $5,000 ozt is more likely. It would seem it is still not too late to buy into this gold (and silver) bull run. Words: 820
Read More »Timing Is Everything When Assessing the Future Price of Gold
A basic understanding of gold price phases throughout the year [provides the answer to the question:] "What's next for the price of gold?" Let me explain. Words: 758
Read More »Relax! Defaulting on Debt Is Not an "End of the World" Scenario
While there can be little doubt that a default on the U.S. debt would lead to a financial crisis and would likely permanently reduce the role of the U.S. financial industry in world markets, it is also likely the case that the United States would rebound and possible rebound quickly from a default. [It most certainly is not] an end of the world scenario. [Let me explain.] Words: 478
Read More »Will Gold Drop to $1,200 Before Spurting to $2,000?
In the long run developments in the financial markets and around the world seem to conspire to whip up a perfect storm for the gold price, taking it up towards $2,000 and further. That new upleg, however, could very well start from a much lower level than now. There are quite a few developments that could easily send the gold price lower in the coming months. Is $1,200 in the cards? Words: 774
Read More »The U.S. is Headed Towards Self-inflicted Disaster: Here’s Why (+2K Views)
In spite of the spending cuts secured in last week's last-minute budget deal... we are headed for a 50-square-mile iceberg and have just turned the wheel an inch - probably less... [After all,] the $38 billion in cuts represent less than the $54 billion in new debt the U.S. racked up in just the previous week, less than 3% of this year's projected deficit and less than 1% of what the government has projected to spend in 2011... [In fact, such inadequate action has done nothing more than] reinforce expectations that the U.S. is headed for self-inflicted disaster. [Let me explain.] Words: 1066
Read More »IMF: Major Changes Required to Close U.S. Fiscal Imbalance – Here’s Why, What and How (+2K Views)
The United States is facing an unsupportable fiscal situation due to the combination of high deficits, aging population and growth in government-provided healthcare benefits according to a working paper by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Their forecast implies that U.S. debt will rise rapidly relative to gross domestic product (GDP) in the medium- to long-term unless MAJOR adjustments in taxes and government payments are made to reduce the current fiscal and generational gaps and to avoid any further undesirable escalation of debt. [Let's look at the details.] Words: 790
Read More »America: The Party is Over! Here's Why
We Americans have enjoyed an incredibly wonderful standard of living over the past three decades with most of us believing that it was because we are the world's wealthiest, most prosperous nation with economic and financial systems that are second to none - but that is not even close to accurate. [The truth of the matter is that] we are [actually] in the biggest debt bubble the world has ever seen! It has been the greatest party in the history of the world, but it is time to turn out the lights because the party is over. [Let me explain.] Words: 1518
Read More »Gold & Silver Warrants Index (GSWI) Constituents: March Update (+2K Views)
The galaxy of warrants consists of only 146 stars (i.e. constituents) of which only 33 are associated with 30 commodity-related stocks that have sufficient brightness (i.e. 24+ months duration) to warrant (the pun is intended!) the attention of earthly investors. Words: 1579
Read More »What Does the Future Hold for the Dow:Gold Ratio? (+2K Views)
The Dow:Gold ratio is defined as the ratio of the price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average divided by the price of gold [or] how many ounces of gold it takes to buy the 30-stock Dow. The current Dow:Gold ratio of 8.5 is up 21.1% from its 17-year March 6, 2009 low of 7.0 and 81% below its 1999 peak of 44.77. [What does the future hold? Higher gold prices, lower stock prices or vice versa?] Words: 400
Read More »Goldrunner: Fractal Analysis Suggests Silver to Reach $52 – $56 by May – June 2011
Dollar Inflation remains the driver of the pricing environment for almost everything denominated in U.S. Dollars as long as the Fed continues to monetize debt. The debt monetization creates Dollar Inflation that results in Dollar Devaluation. By the time the Fed has ramped up the QE II that they have announced will end in June, I expect Gold, Silver, and the HUI will have risen to $1860 - $1975, $52 - $56 and 940 - 970 respectively. Let me show you why. Words: 1301
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