Silver currently looks inexpensive compared to crude oil, the S&P 500 and the size and rate of increase of the national debt suggest silver is ready to rally.
Christenson goes on to say in further edited excerpts:
Silver vs. Crude Oil
The price of a barrel of crude oil has increased from about $1.50 to about $90 over the past 50 years. Examine the following graph of silver divided by crude oil. They increase together on average, but silver currently looks inexpensive compared to crude oil. Expect silver to rise in price more rapidly than crude oil.
Silver vs. S&P 500
Examine the graph of (100 times) silver divided by the S&P 500 Index. The attractiveness of financial assets (S&P) varies widely compared to the need for hard assets such as silver and gold. Note that the ratio has dropped from over 3 to less than 1 in the past 3 years. Expect silver to rally substantially compared to the S&P.
- Do you expect the emphasis upon warfare and welfare to change?
- Do you expect fewer dollars to be created?
- Do you expect central banks will self-destruct by allowing interest rates to rise and/or deflationary forces to overwhelm the economy?
The above is highly unlikely and hence, unless (until) something unlikely and world changing occurs, we should expect, as with the past 50 years:
- More warfare
- More welfare
- Increasing consumer prices
- More debt
- More government statistics proving everything is wonderful in election years
- More volatility, anxiety, worry, and concern over markets, ebola, war, the NSA, which insider will purchase the presidency etc.
- More gold and silver coins sold to Americans and Europeans who increasingly distrust paper assets.
- More gold and silver purchases by Asian individuals and governments who increasingly distrust paper assets.
- More talk-talk on financial TV about the great stock buying opportunities available in 2014, 2015, 2016, and through 2030.
Silver is currently inexpensive compared to the S&P 500 Index, crude oil, the size and rate of increase of the national debt, and especially the future price for silver after markets have reset, paper assets have devalued, and hard assets have jumped much higher in price.
Inevitable? Certainly not, but the best overall predictor of future prices, future policies, and future wars seems to be the long term trends shown by past prices, policies, and wars.
Weekly Silver Prices
Examine the following graph of weekly silver prices since 1994.
The black vertical lines are spaced 5.75 years apart and they show significant lows in silver prices in 1997, 2003, 2008, and about now.
Based on the stochastic index and the disparity index (and many more such indicators that are not shown) silver prices are ready to rally.
Guaranteed? No!
Probability? Yes!
Editor’s Note: The author’s views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.
*http://goldsilverworlds.com/gold-silver-price-news/silver-price-at-historical-extremes-compared-to-oil-and-stocks/
If you liked this article then “Follow the munKNEE” & get each new post via
- Our Newsletter (sample here)
- Twitter (#munknee)
Related Articles:
1. Pessimism Regarding Silver Has Gone Too Far – Here’s Why
Has anything changed for silver? [Not really.] The only change is that the media is telling us the economy is doing better; hence, investors are not buying into the precious metal sector. The reality of the situation is that the supply of silver in the market is declining, while demand is rising by the double-digits. [As a result, in my opinion,] pessimism towards the “poor man’s gold” has gone too far. In fact, I’m expecting silver to provide investors with a better return than gold bullion over the next 24 months. Below is my explanation why. Read More »
2. Now’s the Time to Jump Aboard the Gold & Silver Train – Here’s Why
The smart money has been moving into precious metals during dips in recent months as many view the sector as one of the last places to find real value given that stocks, bonds, real estate, and nearly every other asset class, has been inflated to lofty levels by the FED’s easy money policies since 2009. I believe we are witnessing one of the last great buying opportunities in precious metals. When prices start moving higher again, there will be little time to jump aboard the train. The downside risk at this juncture pales in comparison to the upside potential. Read More »
3. Now’s THE Worst Time to Panic Out Of Gold & Silver! Here’s Why
Look for huge volume and accumulation in gold and silver over the next few weeks and in some high quality junior mining stocks. Negative capitulation followed by strong accumulation could be the indicator that the smart money expects gold and silver to bottom. The question for many is when this will occur. It should be soon as this correction in the junior miners has been one of the worst and longest in decades providing possibly a once in a generation buying opportunity. Read More »
4. $15 Silver A Good Point At Which to Buy – Here’s Why
The $15 zone in silver looks to be an interesting point at which to start buying. Here’s why. Read More »
5. Silver’s Neon “Sale!” Sign Is Flashing Like A Disco Ball! Here Are 7 Reasons Why
Eventually, all markets correct excesses. The global economy is near a tipping point, and we must prepare our portfolios now, ahead of that chaos, for a big payday which means owning a meaningful amount of physical silver in addition to gold. Let me offer 7 reasons why that is the case. Words: 1588 Read More »
6. Silver: The Price Could Easily Double or Triple – Here’s Why
Silver is selling at less than half its 2011 high. It is being ignored more than gold. It has explosive fundamentals. This article assesses silver’s potential by looking at the big-picture forces that could impact silver over the next several years – and point to a possible runaway price scenario. Read More »
7. The Case For $5,000 Silver – Yes, $5,000 Silver
If the price of silver were based directly on the real physical silver market, silver’s price should be at $5,000 an ounce. I’m not saying the price of silver will reach $5,000 an ounce; I’m just saying that the actual PHYSICAL silver spot price is not only extremely undervalued, but that it is an illusion compared to the real value of an ounce of physical silver, since it is totally disconnected from reality. [Let me explain further.] Read More »
I believe that the Silver to Gold Ratio has peaked, making silver a compelling bargain relative to gold. From today’s vantage point it is difficult believing that the price of silver could ever equal or exceed the price of gold but, when one considers the possibilities, there are many good reasons to accumulate as much silver as possible at today’s prices. Read More »
9. Silver Presents A “Golden” Investment Opportunity – Here’s Why
Silver has a reputation for being gold’s less desirable sister, but make no mistake, silver may still be a golden opportunity to invest in. Silver’s use is already very prevalent in the photography, consumer electronics, medical, and high tech industries and a major consumer of silver in the future will be the green technology sector in products such as solar cells and batteries. Read More »
10. Buy Silver Instead of Gold! Here’s Why
People who have trusted the paper market first go to gold when they have their awakening because it is the largest precious metals market in the world but the more I learned about silver, however, the more I realized that silver was the smart decision. Here a a few reasons why that is the case. Read More »
11. Move Up In Silver To Be Sharper, Greater & Faster Than Gold – Here’s Why
Analysts and investors seem to be very bearish towards silver, but we think that the fundamentals of silver are now becoming extremely attractive in terms of contrarian opportunities. Volatility and risk are not always commensurate, and we believe that silver offers investors fundamentals that can be much stronger than expected and returns that would be magnified by the small size of the silver market (and the bearish positioning by participants). Contrarian investors would be wise to take note. Read More »
12. Silver Likely to Rally Even Farther & Faster Than Gold In Coming Months – Here’s Why
It is a reasonable bet that gold, about 40% below its 2011 high and facing large demand and dwindling supply, will rally in price over the next few years. Silver prices will follow gold prices but rally farther and faster from their currently low and oversold condition. Read More »
13. Gold:Silver Ratio Suggests Much Higher Future Price for Silver – MUCH Higher!
The majority of analysts maintain that gold will reach a parabolic peak price somewhere in excess of $5,000 per troy ounce in the next few years. Given the fact that the historical movement of silver is 90 – 95% correlated with that of gold suggests that a much higher price for silver can also be anticipated. Couple that with the fact that silver is currently greatly undervalued relative to its average long-term historical relationship with gold and it is realistic to expect that silver will eventually escalate dramatically in price. How much? This article applies the historical gold:silver ratios to come up with a range of prices based on specific price levels for gold being reached. Words: 691 Read More »
14. 4 Unique Characteristics Should Propel Silver Skyward
With the likes of Ray Dalio and billionaire George Soros placing big bets on a recovery in precious metals now is likely the time for investors to take the plunge. The key question remains, however, which precious metal? My preference is silver. Here’s why. Read More »
15. What You Need to Know Before Investing in Silver
I believe there is more opportunity in the silver market over the next two years relative to gold and, as such I’m now advocating accumulating a large overweight position in silver relative to gold because, over the long-term, there is such a great demand vs. supply situation developing….Before investing in silver, however, there are a number very important things that you must understand about the silver market. Let me explain. Words: 899 Read More »
16. I’m A Crazy Silver Bug…Why Aren’t You?!!
It’s true that there are “NO SURE THINGS” in life…but an investment in SILVER comes DARN CLOSE! Yes, you’ll have to ride the tidal wave of price manipulation but when the waves die down you will fully appreciate the power and value of SILVER. Let me explain.