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Duronio quotes Fitzpatrick as saying, in part:
Contrary to what most people think…consumer sentiment drives the equity markets rather than vice versa. We saw in 2000, 2007, and again in 2011, that when consumer confidence peaked and turned, it was an early warning sign that markets were headed lower. Within a couple of months you started to see equity markets come under pressure. It’s been no different this year, with the consumer confidence turning in February. Then we saw the S&P turn in April, and the Dow top out on the first trading day of May.
Looking at the chart [below], we’re convinced it’s a very strong double-top formation, very similar to what we saw back in 1980. The suggestion to us is that we are headed all the way back down again, possibly even to the lows that we saw in 2011, when we got down to about 41 on the index. This is likely to weigh on equities.
King World News |
[Duronio continues:] Fitzpatrick [also] thinks European government bonds are signaling a downturn in stocks, saying: “We expect to see a re-emergence of the stresses, as well as the equity markets beginning to fall again. Our feeling is we will see that once again after we get through this weekend.”Take Note: If you like what this site has to offer go here to receive Your Daily Intelligence Report with links to the latest articles posted on munKNEE.com. It’s FREE! An easy “unsubscribe” feature is provided should you decide to cancel at any time.
*http://www.businessinsider.com/citi-stocks-fall-consumer-sentiment-2012-6#ixzz1z6QWdBuJ (To access the above article please copy the URL and paste it into your browser.)
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