Thursday , 7 December 2023

Unlike the U.S and U.K, Canada's Home Prices Are STILL Rising!

Canada, France and Switzerland stood alone among nine markets measured in recording annual price gains in home prices, based on second-quarter data, with inflation-adjusted price increases of 5%, 5% and  4%, respectively, compared to declines of 6% in the U.S., the U.K. and Australia, 10% in Spain and 14% in Ireland. In fact, Canada’s home prices have escalated 44%, on average, since 2005 – and 68% in Vancouver – and they are up 7.7% in the past 12 months! Words: 1244

Reports by Canada’s Bank of Nova Scotia, National Bank (see here) and the Canadian Real Estate Association (see here) paint a rosy picture for the housing scene in Canada over the past decade with no declines foreseen, on average, in the near future. Lorimer Wilson, editor of (Your Key to Making Money!) has amalgamated the findings of these three reports and comments on said reports as found in the Globe and Mail into this article to ensure a fast and easy read. Please note that this paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement. 

1. Senior economist Adrienne Warren of Canada’s Bank of Nova Scotia says in her report that:

Canada’s Home Prices (Major Cities) Went UP 5.27% in Last 12 Months

Scotiabank expects housing demand around around the world to remain moribund until the recovery picks up and, while Canada’s real estate market is notable for its resilience and longevity, Warren anticipates, on balance,  a modest slowdown in the volume of sales transactions heading into year-end, alongside relatively flat prices.


2. The latest Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index reports that: 

Canadian Home Prices Have Jumped 44.27% Since 20o5

As the chart below shows Canada has not experienced a housing bubble with prices continuing an almost uninterrupted advance as seen in the chart below:
Canadian house prices continue to increase in 2011

Since Teranet first started tracking prices in June 2005 with a base level of 100, home prices have jumped 44.27%. The Vancouver index leads the pack at 167.77, suggesting prices have gone up 67.77% since 2005. Toronto, meanwhile, has the lowest index rating at 131.26, meaning prices have accelerated “only” 31.26% in that time.

House Prices Went UP 1.3% in July in Canada’s Major Cities

House prices in 6 of Canada’s major cities across the country jumped 1.3% this past July, compared with the previous month That is the fourth straight monthly increase of more than 1% and the eighth straight rise in a row. The index is also up 5.27% compared with a year ago.

Prices were up in five of the six major metropolitan markets surveyed in July:

  • Calgary led the pack with a 2.3% increase (+0.9% y/y),
  • Toronto was up 1.7% (+4.8% y/y), 
  • Ottawa came in at +1.o% (+4.1% y/y),
  • Vancouver was up 0.9% (+8.5% y/y), yes, 8.5%!,
  • Montreal rose +0.5% (+6.0% y/y) and
  • Halifax -0.9% (+3.3%y/y).

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3. The latest Canadian Real Estate Association reports that:

Canada’s National Average Home Price is $349,916 (Canadian dollars)

The national average price for homes sold in August stood at $349,916, down from $372,700 in June. Despite the slowdown, however, prices have nonetheless gained 7.7% in the past 12 months. This number is at odds with the Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index number of 5.27% because that report tracks prices in only 6 of Canada’s largest metropolitan cities whereas the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) numbers reflect the sale price of homes in every community across the country regardless of population.


CREA’s chief economist Gregory Klump says,

Earlier this year, the national average price was being skewed upward by sales in some expensive Vancouver neighbourhoods, but this factor is now diminishing. Upward skewing of the national average price is also shrinking due to overall sales trends in Vancouver, and most recently in Toronto…Economic and financial market headwinds outside Canada are keeping interest rates lower for longer [and] those headwinds will likely persist until, and indeed after, fiscal quagmires in the U.S. and Europe are resolved. In the meantime, the Bank of Canada will have ample reason to delay raising interest rates further, which is supportive for the Canadian housing market.


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