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The US Recession Probabilities Index is currently at a level that has ALWAYS been followed by a recession. Interestingly, however, I don’t see recession signals in the internal indicators that I follow and which have been right for a long time now so this clearly puts that opinion in the “this time is different” category - or does it? Words: 255
Read More »U.S. Recession Probabilities Index Says "Yes", My Indicators Say "No" – Is This Time Different?
