Tag Archives: monetary policy

Japan’s post-1989 experience provides a long-running case study on the limits of monetary and fiscal stimulus. After the collapse of a combined equity and property bubble, Japan relied on sustained deficits, near-zero interest rates, and repeated stimulus to stabilize growth. While markets eventually recovered in nominal terms, the process took decades and coincided with a sharp rise in government debt. In 2026, rising bond yields and higher debt servicing costs are testing the durability of this approach. The Japanese experience offers a relevant framework for assessing similar policy paths now being followed globally.

Gold’s rise to over $4,500/oz in 2025 reflects deep structural imbalances in global currency management. As inflation erodes purchasing power, gold’s share of global financial assets has begun to recover from historic lows. Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, are diversifying away from the U.S. dollar and increasing gold holdings. The U.S. government’s long-standing influence through major financial institutions is weakening as AI-driven trading and geopolitical shifts reshape the market. The reassertion of the physical gold market marks a turning point for investors evaluating the future of monetary stability.

Is the U.S. dollar, as the primary global reserve currency, under threat? While the dollar maintains its position through the petrodollar system and military backing, structural risks such as the $38.4 trillion national debt and the diversification of foreign reserves pose challenges. What could trigger a monetary shift? A gold revaluation? Debt defaults? Investors should consider the strategic importance of physical gold as a hedge against currency transitions and the long-term erosion of purchasing power.

The historical relationship between the U.S. dollar and the U.S. stock market has shifted from a weak positive correlation to a stronger inverse pattern. While global capital flows once linked a stronger dollar to rising U.S. equities, recent years show the opposite movement as risk-on and risk-off dynamics dominate. During risk-off periods, investors seek safety in the dollar, pushing it higher as equities fall. Conversely, a weaker dollar often aligns with a stronger global risk appetite. This article examines this correlation and the implications for investors.

Gary Tanashian of Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH) analyzed the Gold-Silver Ratio (GSR) throughout 2024–2025 as an indicator of risk sentiment and economic liquidity. A rising GSR suggested market caution, stronger dollar performance, and silver underperformance, while a falling ratio reflected potential reflation trends and risk-on behavior. Tanashian emphasized that investors should combine GSR analysis with additional indicators such as the HUI gold miner index, U.S. dollar trends, and Treasury yields. He also introduced the 30-year Treasury yield “Continuum” to interpret whether GSR shifts represent lasting market signals or temporary reactions.

Gold’s long-term trend has been shaped by inflation, monetary policy, and global economic shifts. Since 2016, the metal has been in a renewed uptrend, surpassing its previous highs. Historical cycles show that when gold moves, it moves fast. With gold now above its inflation-adjusted highs of $2,700, a sustained breakout above $3,000 could signal the next phase of its rally. Technical levels suggest that once gold clears key resistance zones, $4,000 may be the next significant target. This article examines gold’s historical patterns and key price levels, offering insights into what may be ahead for the precious metal.

Over the past five years, gold and gold-related ETFs have experienced significant fluctuations due to economic events, changing interest rates, and shifting market sentiment. This article reviews the performance of gold, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ). Gold rose by over 60%, while GLD closely mirrored this increase. In contrast, GDX and GDXJ significantly underperformed, with GDX up only 30% and GDXJ up just 12%. This analysis highlights the varying risks and returns associated with different gold-related investments.

Just as the amount of outstanding debt has spiraled uncontrollably higher, so too will inflation. The hubris of central bankers who somehow believe they will know the precise time to alter easy money policies in order to prevent a monetary disaster is only exceeded by the foolishness of Congressional oversight in granting that authority. Word count: 1139

It is understandable why there is such a major divide between Republicans and Democrats in America when one examines their diametrically opposed, and seemingly irreconcilable, Keynesian and Austrian economic views. This article explains the different approaches to fiscal policy for each party and why he thinks one approach is better than the other based on research on the subject.

If you are clearly watching, listening and paying attention to what is going on around you, and not what the press 'conjures up' and the political apparatus 'spins', then the following lessons, in the following sequence, should resonate with you. [Unfortunately, however,] the captains of world monetary policy have not and, as such, they have put the world on a course that history has warned us against [and we will eventually pay the price of their ignorance and ineptitude. Take a look. These words of wisdom (lessons) are as timely today as when first spoken/written.] Words: 865