There's nothing to be bearish about regarding the stock market these days. I've reviewed my 9 point "Bear Market Checklist" of indicators and it is a perfect 0-for-9. Not even one indicator on the list is even close to flashing a warning sign so pop a pill and relax. There's no immediate danger threatening stocks.
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Stock Markets Ripe for a MAJOR Selloff – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Despite bulls’ assertions otherwise, the stock markets are not cheap today. They are quite expensive and very overbought, ripe for a serious selloff. The S&P 500 stock index now has average valuations matching the ones seen in October 2007 when the last cyclical bull topped. Valuations should be around 12x or 13x now, 13 years into this 17-year secular bear. …
Read More »Relax ! Stocks Are In NO Immediate Danger – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
Right now there's nothing to be bearish about. I say that with conviction, because my "Bear Market Checklist" is a perfect 0-for-9. Heck, not a single indicator on the list is even close to flashing a warning sign. We've got nothing but big whiffers! Take a look. Pop a pill and relax. There's no immediate danger threatening stocks.
Read More »Invested in the S&P 500? Then Watch Price of WTI Crude Oil Closely – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
For the past few years West Texas Intermediate Crude (WTIC) oil and the S&P 500 have trended together and have hit key highs and lows around the same time window. WTIC is now within 1% of the top of its multi-year pennant pattern which has brought on short-term S&P 500 corrections. What does that mean for the future direction of the S&P 500 this time round?
Read More »Does Behavior of “We the People” Suggest Central Bankers Have Gone Too Far? (+2K Views)
Central bankers have concluded that the scale of monetary easing they have taken over the past few years should be magnified - that more easing is required to get things rolling - but could it be that central planning has gone too far or, at least, reached its boundaries? Disposable income in real terms per person and savings rate of individuals could be reliable indicators that such is the case. Let me explain.
Read More »Can S&P 500 Justify Current Level With Earnings Growth So Weak?
The S&P 500 is trading at near record high levels on the back of liquidity glut in the financial system. I mention the liquidity factor because all other fundamental factors do not support current levels and valuations.
Read More »Level of Investor Margin Suggest Its Time to Lower Stock Exposure (+2K Views)
Some times in history, investors feel so confident about the future of stocks, they actually use up all their available cash and then borrow money to invest in the stock market. Now is one of those times - and it suggests that now is the time to lower one's stock exposure. Here's why.
Read More »S&P 500 “Beat Rate” Reports Suggest Bull Market May Be In Trouble
The latest earnings season stats coming from corporate America hardly inspire confidence and if they don’t improve, this bull market is in serious trouble. [That being said,] it’s still early and it’s not uncommon for the "beat rates" to improve as the earnings season unfolds. Nevertheless, the current readings are definitely a cause for concern.
Read More »Russell Asks: “What’s Up? What Do Buffett, Paulson & Soros Know That We Don’t?” (+2K Views)
Billionaires Warren Buffett, John Paulson, and George Soros are selling consumer-oriented stocks. What do they know that you and I don’t?
Read More »8 Reasons Why Gold Crashed & Will Likely Continue to Decline
In my article of April 5th, posted here, I maintained that in the next year, and particularly for the next three to six months, a liquidation phase in the current cyclical bear market in gold would likely develop,,,[causing gold to] fall sharply. [Below are the 8 reasons I mentioned back then which still remain relevant today.]
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