Stock Indices

The number, market cap and currencies of the constituents of the HUI, XAU, GDX, XGD and CDNX indices differ considerably from each other and, as such, each index presents a different picture of what is really happening in the precious metals marketplace. This article analyzes the make-up of each index to reveal the biases of each to arrive at the answer to the question in the title. Words: 1026

For the first time in more than 90 days, the NYSE Cumulative Advance/Decline Line - A line that incorporates the breadth of all securities traded on the NYSE - is sitting at a record high and new highs in the NYSE A/D Line have consistently preceded stock gains since 1928. Over the next three months, there were no losses greater than -8.5% at any point for any signal. On average, drawdowns were limited to only -1.6%.

October has begun - the month that has a particularly bad reputation for traders! Is that bad reputation justified?

I don't doubt that the S&P 500 will rise to 5,000 - someday - but it just isn't likely to be this year or next. Let's logically think about this and just where the two keys to market would need to be for 5,000 to be realistic, which are earnings and the PE.

I believe that we are at the end of a very major economic cycle. Not only are markets insane, but so are deficits, debts and currency debasements but also moral and ethical values have now vanished into thin air and been replaced by lies, deceit and the golden calf. We are now in a very critical period for the world since excesses of the magnitude we are now seeing must be corrected... and the corrections will be of a similar magnitude to the rise but happen much quicker. We are talking about falls of 90% or more in all major asset and debt markets. [Let me explain.]

The Opportunities & Risks Index has been an extremely accurate bottom predictor over the past decade and has also been a good predictor for future corrections.

The stock market bubble continues to inflate, while the price of silver remains range-bound but a reversal in those two asset classes is coming, and based on history it could be one for the record books. In fact, you might want to refrain from sipping hot coffee while viewing the tables below.

The stock market looks to be the place to be long term, as it has always been. With all the tools at the disposal of government officials, economic collapse (as in the Great Depression) may no longer be even a minor probability in the decades to come.

A look at the data provides some interesting insights as to what the election’s potential impact will likely have on financial markets.

Using the death cross with a 50-period and 200-period has reliably predicted some of the most severe bear markets that have occurred