The current credit-bubble boom in stocks and bonds is getting long in tooth after 34 years of relentless expansion, and the rise of securities to 400% of GDP is reaching extremes that are increasingly difficult to support, much less push higher. As such, a reversion to generational lows is inevitable, and a valuation level around 50% of GDP for stocks is a fair target. This implies a 75% decline in both stocks and bonds within the next decade, if not sooner.
Read More »Be Smart: Consider These Economic Indicators When Investing
Before placing trades, it’s good practice to review market-moving indicators such as jobless claims, housing starts and sales, consumer confidence, and inflation as they can help you make smarter investments and grow your wealth. Here's a look at each of the above mentioned indicators that you may want to become familiar with.
Read More »Make Better Investment Decisions By Applying This Checklist First
Have you ever made a spur of the moment trading decision without fully thinking things through and later come to regret it? Do you feel like your investment decision-making process could use some help? Here's an investing checklist you can use as a useful guide to develop a systematic, organized, and thorough approach to trading.
Read More »Curtains To Come Down 70% On Greatest Bull Market & Bubble In History By 2017 (2K Views)
Where does the Dow go from here? Maybe up a little higher but, more likely, it's all downhill from here though perhaps that statement is misleading. More like, down a cliff.
Read More »Where Are World’s 2 Biggest, Best & Most Powerful Investors Investing? Here’s Where & How (+2K Views)
A lot of people think that because they have a lot of money they’re wealthy but, in the short run while that may be true, in the longer run the money can go away. Wealth, however, is something that prevails and these 2 investors know exactly how to maximize theirs.
Read More »Tobin’s Q Says Stocks Are Disconnected From Reality – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
According to Tobin’s Q, equities in the U.S. are valued about 10% above the cost of replacing their underlying assets -- higher than any time other than the Internet bubble and the 1929 peak. Here's why.
Read More »Should A Significant Portion of Your Portfolio Be In Gold?
If you had invested in gold in 2004 you would have earned about 10.4%, annualized. I am writing this article, though, to say that you should not consider gold to be a good long-term investment and you should not have a significant proportion of your portfolio in gold. Let me explain.
Read More »Avoid “Losing Your Ass” In the Next Stock Market Correction! Here’s How
At this mature stage of a cyclical bull market, it’s important to avoid allowing your hubris to go haywire - to believe you’re just so damn good that your next goal should be to “beat an index.” I offer 3 ways to let you keep yourself in check - to avoid losing your ass - as markets eventually revert to a mean.
Read More »Interesting Comparison of U.S. Market-cap-to-GDP Ratio To 20 Other Countries
Two weeks ago, I wrote about Warren Buffett’s favorite tool for measuring the overall valuation of the market: the ratio of total market cap to GDP. Today, we’re going to dig a little deeper into that analysis and compare the U.S. market to 20 other countries you may be interested in investing. Take a look HERE at a chart showing the current market-cap-to-GDP ratio within the context of its historical range. You will find the results very interesting.
Read More »Major Market Gurus See Devastating Collapse of Global Bond Bubble Soon
There is literally nowhere for the bond market to go except down and, when this bull market turns into a bear, it will create chaos and financial devastation all over the planet.
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