Gold, Silver & Other Commodities

People ask me all the time where the price of gold is headed. I do not pretend to know, especially in the short-term. However, I understand the fundamentals and Roubini clearly doesn't, nor does he have a clue about money or what causes economic growth...In fact, having just read Nouriel Roubini's seven point analysis on the Bursting of the Gold Bubble, I am of the opinion that he doesn't get even one of the seven points correct. In this article I offer a point-by-point rebuttal.

Roubini expects gold will fall below $1,000/oz. Here's why.

Silver is less predictable than gold. Its ups and downs are far more pronounced than gold's and occur with greater regularity and its declines are far more damaging. That unpredictability makes silver no longer worth the risk...

What would happen to the market/spot price of gold if central banks around the world diverted their foreign currency reserves – almost $11 trillion's worth – into gold. Using James Turk's Gold Money Index the "fair" gold price would be $10,783/ozt.

The price of gold is going down. That is what the charts, newspapers and pundits are all saying...[but what] they are deliberately not saying is that the value and desirability, as opposed to the price, of gold is going up and will go up further. Make no sense? Well I think it does..[Let me explain.]

Gold and Historical Average measured against John Williams’ shadow CPI statistics (shows that the 1980 peak of $850 equals $9,000+ today, and clearly demonstrates gold is far away from making new ‘real’ highs).

The tactic by the Fed and Central Banks is to inflate the stock markets while manipulating the price of gold and silver lower and it's working. They are deluding the public into believing their 401ks, pension plans, stocks etc. are safe investments in a deteriorating economy, while at the same time destroying the faith in owning gold and silver. [An analysis of the Dow/silver, Dow/gold and Dow/HUI ratios make that very evident. Let's take a look.] Words: 555; Charts: 3

You cannot control what others do, especially those in power. You can control what you do. Just keep buying, regardless of price, because if/when the price of gold and silver were to go lower, you may not be able to buy. If/when the price of gold and silver were to go higher, it may be at such an accelerated rate that any price in the past few years seem cheap. Words: 550

This article brings you up to date as to the degree of current bearish sentiment regarding both gold and silver using 5 sentiment indicators (with 9 illustrative charts), as well as provides you with an opportunity to observe the price outcome of previous bearish extremes using these sentiment indicators.

The next chapter [in gold and silver] has yet to be written. One thing is likely to be certain, it will get uglier. The public will not be prepared for what could take a few more years to develop, and the potential for yet much lower prices for both gold and silver.