Gold & Silver

My long standing target for gold of $10,000 in today’s money and much, much higher in inflationary terms, is now more probable than ever but I hope it will never be achieved. When gold goes to $10,000, It will not just reflect inflation and falling currencies like in the 1970s but a much more serious or even catastrophic situation both in the U.S. and globally so let’s look at a potential scenario for the next few years. This is obviously not a forecast but more of a rough sketch of what could happen:

Talk about having an opportunity handed to you on a silver platter! Whether it’s buying shares of SLV or purchasing physical bullion, there really isn’t much of a downside at this point. If you haven’t staked your claim, now’s a good time to do it.

Some say that $15/ozt silver is a bargain - "a screaming buy!"- but are there any fundamentals and/or technical factors to support such claims?

Today all currencies are fiat, that is, they are money only by government edict, by the law; they have no inherent value and are not backed by reserves. Because of this central bankers around the world can create/ print new money almost without limit, and as with all markets currency prices are set by the law of supply and demand, and as more dollars, euros, pounds and yen are created, their value falls. [Let me explain the ramifications of such action.] Words: 785

Why do some analysts argue that the gold:silver ratio should reflect the relative rarities of the two metals in the ground and therefore be 10:1 or lower? I don’t know, but it isn’t a valid argument. Neither is the argument that the gold:silver ratio should be around 16:1 because that’s what it averaged for hundreds of years prior to the last hundred years. So, what should it be?

Independent research recommends that an allocation of 10% to gold and 5% to silver should be enough to ensure you will do much better in the coming market crash. Here is the rationale.

A central bank’s worst nightmare is when they want inflation and can’t get it. The Fed’s tricks have all failed. Is there another rabbit in the hat? Actually, there is. The Fed could announce that effective immediately the price of gold was $5,000 per troy ounce which would cause massive inflation within 15 minutes.

The age-old battle of what should be money continues. Today, the battle is between the banking establishment and the masses of people who trade our markets. The establishment desires to enslave the people with their imaginary ‘cyber’ digits and a cashless society. The people, however, desire a tangible object like silver & gold.

Given that oil will continue to be dominant in the energy mix for the short and medium term, which countries hold the most oil reserves?

SLV is trading at an attractive level, and appears to have entered a new uptrend towards the end of last year. The recent correction appears to be a positive technical development which should allow market participants to enter SLV at an appealing point around current levels.