Gold, Silver & Other Commodities

Gold-producing countries are found on nearly all continents, and represent the gamut of economies from developed super-powers to small, emerging market countries. With gold’s spectacular rise in price and related demand, it’s worth your time to know a little bit about where all the gold comes from.

Is gold still cheap? No, gold left bargain territory long ago [but] we remain bullish on gold, not because we think gold is still cheap, but because we expect it to get a lot more expensive. [Why?] Because the world's most important central banks and governments remain committed to a course that ends in catastrophe for their economies and currencies. [Let me explain further.] Words: 565

We’re making history here. Gold stocks have never been this undervalued before. We’ve had a 12 year bull market in gold, but we’ve also had a 15 year bear market in the mining shares...It’s very rare in market history to see an outlier like this. This is an extraordinary event. Years from now we are going to look back and shake our heads in disbelief at how undervalued gold stocks were in 2012.

The Gold Tree Infographic below visualizes above-ground stock, sources and uses of gold and pictures the different forms of gold investments – ranging from physical gold in the form of bullion gold to securities not backed by gold.

The infographic below on vaulted gold explains what vaulted gold is and visualizes key facts relating to investments in gold that is stored on behalf of investors in high-security vaults.

Great fortunes are made at super-bear market lows but you must have the money at the lows. [That is precisely] why gold is so singular and valuable. If you have gold at the bottom of the next bear market, you can exchange it for a collection of great common stocks or funds, and then sit back and relax.

People ask me on a consistent basis if I think the government will confiscate their gold and silver coins if times get rough. I feel there is little chance of this happening, and here’s why. Words: 390

The fundamentals supporting a mania in gold and gold stocks are such that I think a strong case can be made [to support my contention] that the current bull market in gold is far stronger than the one from the 1970s. [I present below] the major observations I feel...support such a thesis. Words: 700

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that the technical picture for gold has been rapidly deteriorating...and a look at the longer term charts makes it clear that we have just witnessed a head and shoulders formation that has dramatically failed. The chip shot on the downside for gold here is $1,500 [maybe even] $1,450. Bring a double dip scare for the economy into the picture, which I expect to see this summer, and $1,100 is a possibility. If you get a real stock market crash in 2013, as many analysts are predicting, and you’ll get another chance to buy at $750. [That being said,] long term, I still like gold and expect it to hit the old inflation adjusted high of $2,300 during the next hard asset buying binge - but remember also that long term, we are all dead. Words: 900

Nick Laird has put together an Elliott Wave theory prediction using ‘The Golden Mean’ & ‘Fibonacci Sequences’ to arrive at future prices for gold...which he is hopeful will serve as 'a roadmap which gold may take as it climbs to new highs'. See the chart below. Words: 625