Sunday , 16 June 2024


Buffett’s Favorite Indicator Implies A 20.6% Annual Increase in Gold Over the Next 10 Years (+2K Views)

The ratio of total stock market capitalization to GDP, a favored indicator of the “Oracle of Omaha”, has historically proven to be a very useful and reliable harbinger of longer-term future returns in equities in the U.S. - and it suggests annualized total returns of -1.27% on the S&P over the next 10 years. Lower equity returns over a 10-year period have been clearly consistent with higher returns for gold. In fact, every 1% drop in annualized total returns on the S&P 500 implies a 1.5% increase in returns on gold. That would be consistent with returns for gold of around 20.6% on average per year.

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