Economy

The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-9 is now transcending into the Great Financial Catastrophe which could very well involve a total reset - or more likely a collapse - of the world economy, financial system and world political system. Here's why.

Placing our faith in failed monetary policies of the past is the height of hubris and complacency. There is a cost to complacency and it's called collapse and, currently, there are 9 dynamics of decay currently in play around the globe.

The debt ceiling is of course a total farce. Why? Because it has been raised 95 times since 1940 and 14 times in this century. As a result, there is now a clear disconnect between the credit expansion and the lagging gold price which will soon be rectified as gold not only catches up with the debt expansion - but overtakes it.

No one knows for sure but you don’t need a PhD in economics to realize that this might not have a happy ending - or that you might want to think about a Plan B.

The idea of "maintaining a certain standard of living" has become a foundation in our society today. Americans, in general, have come to believe they are "entitled" to a certain type of house, car, and general lifestyle which includes NOT just the basic necessities of living such as food, running water, and electricity, but also the latest mobile phone, computer, and high-speed internet connection. (Really, what would be the point of living if you didn't have access to Facebook every two minutes?) Like most economic data, you have to dig behind the numbers to reveal the true story so let's do that, shall we?

Knowing when the U.S. economy is heading for recession is paramount to successful investment decisions and our weekly Business Cycle Index would have provided early reliable warnings for the past seven recessions. [What's it saying these days? Read on!]

It’s impossible to look at global debt stats & facts, or a single country’s national debt, in complete isolation. There are many factors to examine to best understand the impact of global debt on the economy and this infographic provides a clear-cut analysis of important global data, and it shows you the specifics of how much different countries of the world owe compared to their GDP. It’s simple, it’s straightforward, and it gives you everything you need to know.

The Fed, together with other central banks from around the world, have created the perfect crescendo of worldwide credit bubbles and asset bubbles leading to the excesses and decadence which are the normal finale to a secular trend. They have totally destroyed all major world currencies and left the world with debts that cannot and will not be repaid with normal money. As such, there are only two alternative outcomes, debt default or hyperinflation. Both will have disastrous consequences for the world economy.

Below is a highly informative infographic from Fortunly on the current state of the greenback. It will also provide you with a short history of the currency and some projections for the future. Enjoy!

I think that the U.S. has a roughly 0% probability of experiencing hyperinflation within the next 2 years. I also think, however, that the U.S. has a 100% probability of eventually experiencing hyperinflation. Below I explain why I think that is the case.