Friday , 26 July 2024

Tag Archives: quantitative easing

Will We See Further Quantitative Easing?

[Given the Fed's most recent] statement at the end of their meeting last week in which they said: "The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and is prepared to provide additional accommodation if needed to support the economic recovery and to return inflation, over time, to levels consistent with its mandate" (Translation: 'inflation may be getting too low, but don't worry, we are on the job') it seems to be setting us up for another round of quantitative easing. Words: 1147

Read More »

Will We or Won't We Have Another Recession Soon – The Case For and Against a Second Dip

I am worried about the possibility of a second dip - of a new recession beginning sometime in the next year or so - before the current recovery has had a chance to produce much improvement. Verbally-intuitively, the case for a second dip still seems pretty overwhelming to me. I take comfort in the knowledge that I tend to have a pessimistic bias, and in the fact that sophisticated quantitative models are generally putting the odds of a second dip quite low. On the other hand, successfully forecasting recessions has not been a strong point of quantitative models. Words: 1433

Read More »