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Buying and selling based on a moving average of monthly closes can be an effective strategy for managing the risk of severe loss from major bear markets. In essence, •when the monthly close of the index is above the moving average value, you hold the index, •when the index closes below, you move to cash. A chart of the S&P 500 monthly closes since 1995 shows that a 10- or 12-month simple moving average (SMA) strategy would have ensured participation in most of the upside price movement while dramatically reducing losses.
Read More »A Moving Average Strategy Ensures Participation In Most Upside Moves & Dramatically Reduces Losses
