Tag Archives: gold

The arguments for gold to rise dramatically are well known and highly publicized. The arguments for gold to remain flat or to decline are minimally discussed and generally attacked vigorously when raised. [I do just that in this article and the conclusions will not be liked by the goldbugs.] Words: 285

Austrian economists have been predicting for years and years that eventually the Fed would be pushing on a string as they put more liquidity into a market that couldn’t absorb it. That may be what’s happening now. It will be very interesting to watch this development going forward.

Gold is known as a solid inflation hedge, and could earn this reputation in 2013 if inflation picks up. Below are three well-known gold bugs (Jim Rogers, Jeremy Grantham and John Paulson) and their bold predictions for investing in gold next year and beyond. Words: 525

QE3 looks like a desperate act to feed money to large banks, offload MBS toxic waste from their balance sheets, devalue the dollar against houses, commodities, and other currencies and create significant collateral damage in the form of consumer price inflation according to a number of respected economists and critical thinkers on the subject of QE3. [Let's take a look at what they have to say.] Words: 1661

While many of us don't like making price predictions, and certainly ones accompanied by a specific date, it's hard to ignore the correlation between the U.S. monetary base and the gold price. That correlation says we'll see $2,300 gold by January 2014 - and $2,500 by the end of 2014. [Let me explain.] Words: 567

...Gold is about to undergo a profit-taking event...as a result of the USD beginning a rally, probably beginning today. I'm looking for the dollar index to test the downward sloping 200 day moving average [see chart below] before rolling over and continuing the secular trend. This should drive gold down into a final intermediate degree bottom around $1694 or so before testing the all-time highs at or slightly above $1900 sometime before the end of the year. [Let me explain why that is most likely going to happen.] Words: 401

I had the pleasure today of attending a presentation on Strait Minerals (formerly Strait Gold) which is listed on the TSXV under the symbol SRD. Strait Minerals is a mineral exploration company (copper, gold, silver, moly) with 4 properties in Peru. Below is a copy of said presentation - the straight goods - on their plans for the development of each over the coming years and their financial situation and arrangements.

When it comes to investing in gold, investors often see the world in black and white. Some people have a deep, almost religious conviction that gold is a useless, barbarous relic with no yield and an asset no rational investor would ever want. Others love it, seeing it as the only asset that can offer protection from the coming financial catastrophe, which is always just around the corner. Our views are more nuanced and, we believe, provide a balanced framework for assessing value. Our bottom line: given current valuations and central bank policies, we see gold as a compelling inflation hedge and store of value that is potentially superior to fiat currencies. [Here are the details of our analyses.] Words: 1316

All thing considered, it seems clear that the long-term real returns of gold have been poor (compared to stocks and bonds), and I see no reason to expect long-term price appreciation for gold to be above inflation. In fact, as with any non-income producing asset, it would be unreasonable to expect gold to provide significant positive real returns over an indefinite period of time...I would argue that buying gold is a short-term gamble that is completely dependent on the unpredictable vagaries of perception, market psychology and the "greater fool" theory...While it is true that gold can be a good short-term trade and offer superior returns over shorter periods (as has been the case in recent years) I believe that stocks will continue to substantially outperform gold over time. [Let me explain these less than popular conclusions further.] Words: 1258

In all my years of writing about gold, I have rarely referenced specific gold bear articles or posts, but I found myself compelled to break with tradition after reading a recent piece from Zacks Investment Research called The Case Against Gold In Today's Market. My response below mainly focuses on noting how the gold bear arguments themselves demonstrate that gold is not nearly as different from other assets as the Zacks pieces suggests.