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The Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings Ratio, abbreviated as CAPE, or the more precise P/E10, closely tracks the real (inflation-adjusted) price of the S&P Composite. After dropping to 13.3 in March 2009, the P/E10 has rebounded to 23.0. The historical average is 16.39 raising concerns about the current price level of the S&P Composite. Let me explain. Words: 1298

There are different ways to interpret corporate profits and different ways to measure them [and in this article I substantiate] my belief that profits are quite strong and that the market is almost certainly not overestimating their value [unlike other analysts who, in articles here and here, and using different criteria, have come to different conclusions. Please read all the various points of view and come to your own conclusions.] Words: 646

A number of secondary indicators are showing worrisome negative divergences... indicating that the risk-reward tradeoff [for stocks] is becoming increasingly unfavorable. [As such,] the prospect of selling in May and going away is starting to sound good right now. [Let me explain.] Words: 536

The latest quarterly survey of subscribers to StockResearchPortal.com - a site providing stock market data, analysis and research on over 1,600 mining and energy related companies listed on the Toronto and Venture stock exchanges - as to their expectations for the price of gold and silver over the course of 2011, the extent to which they currently owned physical gold and physical silver, and what their intentions were with respect to holding, buying more, or selling part or all of their holdings, has generated some very interesting and revealing data. Let me explain our findings in detail. Words: 733

I have great confidence in mankind’s ability to ultimately overcome even the most extreme of crisis but at this juncture, however, America has yet to begin that arduous process. We live an unrealistic lifestyle on borrowed money and borrowed time. [As such, we are on the brink of] a looming crisis with the power to crush the U.S. economy. Unless Washington makes a 180-degree turn, we face a catastrophe that could end our way of life as we know it. Words: 870

Martin Armstrong, considered to be one of the best - if not the best - market prognosticator in history, had maintained until recently that the price of gold would correct sideways to down into the next bottom of his Economic Confidence Model into June 13, 2011. In a new article that appears to be an apparent response to a recent editorial* I wrote he seems to have changed his position somewhat. Let me explain. Words: 1979

I wrote a piece recently called "Could America be Pushed over the Economic Edge?" about how Libya, Japan or even covert economic warfare from America’s enemies could push the U.S. into another financial meltdown. I received a one sentence email from my friend Jim Sinclair that said, “We are way over the edge right now.” His message gave me a sinking feeling. [Let me explain.] Words: 923

Most lawmakers at the federal, state, and local levels do not understand the absolute severity of the crisis - that the sheer magnitude of our debt makes the United States extremely vulnerable to an economic attack. We are not too big to fail!...The failure to understand our vulnerabilities with our debt and the strategic bind we have put ourselves in will lead to tragic consequences...The spiraling deficits, unfunded pension liabilities, and the retirement of baby boomers means that the perfect storm is headed our way. Words: 717

[There is a considerable difference between the official BLS inflation rate (1.63%) and the ShadowStats' alternative method of calculating consumer prices (9.07%) but] I believe that the optimum method is probably somewhere between the two. [Let me explain.] Words: 390

While a few mainstream outlets...acknowledge gold’s stellar run, most remain skeptical or outright bearish and the blasphemy they purport is that gold is in a bubble. Let’s settle it, right now, and shut these naysayers up. What bubble? Words: 670