Thursday , 31 October 2024

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Asset Inflation: We Should Begin To Worry

We are not yet hoarding toilet paper and baked beans, but the prospect that we will be driven to do so has already been signalled to us. This article draws on the evidence of extreme overvaluations in equities and bonds worldwide, and concludes the explanation lies increasingly in a greater perception of risk against holding cash, or bank deposits.

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“Crexit” Is Upon Us – Caution is Warranted

“Crexit:” a credit crunch brought about by plunging bond prices, soaring losses, an implosion in China’s high-risk debt markets, and a reversal of all the “yield chase” trades investors have flocked to in the last couple of years. That's what S&P's debt analysis team fears is about to unfold with the acceleration in corporate debt and That tells me there’s more going on beneath the surface – and that caution is still warranted when it comes to your investing strategy.

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Gold: A Quick Lesson In Fundamental Cycle Analysis (+2K Views)

Finding your bearings in the various cycles for stocks, real estate, commodities, and macroeconomics is critical to investing. This article describes the 3 cycles that influence the precious metal markets...and a gold trader who doesn’t follow the gold cycles is akin to a carpenter that doesn’t use a level.

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U.S. Dollar to Strengthen into 2017 – Here’s Why

The chart below shows the US Dollar Index value during the past 44 years (1972-2016). It is imperative to notice the two peak values occurred 16 years apart (1985 and 2001), when the US dollar had soared +101% and +50%, respectively. Consequently, if one assumes the 16 year cycle will indeed repeat, then the greenback may well again rise to a peak in 2017. Moreover, if we assume the US$ could rise the average of the two previous peaks, then we might see it peak next year (2017) to +75%.

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Long Gold, Silver or Miners? If So, Take Your Profits Now – Here’s Why

Everyone seems to think that gold, silver, platinum, palladium and related miners are all on a moonshot now and will triple, quadruple and more — all without ever looking back - but all that does is convince me why 90% of investors almost always lose money in the markets. They act like herds, chasing the latest trend. They buy the highs and bail out at the lows, in herds.

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