Silver

Both the short and intermediate term outlook for gold and silver stocks continues to be very positive. Historical analysis shows that GDX & GDXJ could rebound 100% and over 150% respectively by the end of this year. Both forecasts would be below the average of the one year rebounds following the 2005 and 2008 bottoms.

Buckle in, stay the course and be sure to remain situationally aware. Now is not the time to look away. Continue to remain patient, diligent, yet patient. February will be a very exciting and consequential month.

Obama has introduced the MyRA account and it is the prelude for eventually taking over the country’s entire pension programs, taking over all the accounts, (stealing your lifetime savings), and exchanging them for the US Treasury Bonds the Fed cannot sell to countries anymore. This is the only way the US government can cover its trillion $ (and growing) deficit spending. Got gold- physical gold?

Last fall, we said the rally in PMs would take longer than most expected. Expectations were unmet in 2013, and it is possible that 2014 may be no different... gold gives no indication of beginning a strong rally that will change the trend, any time soon and, while the next sustained bull market may well favor silver outperforming gold, silver may have to go lower before it can go higher. Let me explain why this is the case.

No matter what you hear or read about gold and the prospects for substantially higher price levels, the trend is down, exactly opposite of what you know. When you compare what you know, an opinion, with what the market is telling you, the market is a more accurate measure, however counter-intuitive it may be to your opinion, [and THIS is what the markets are saying].

We are starting to see some subtle changes in market behavior but the trend currently remains down for both gold and silver. For those who want to grow their capital, the best time to make a market commitment is with the trend and given how no one knows how the market will correct, it is best to wait and see first what the market reveals. Below are some daily and weekly charts on gold & silver charts to show you how things are developing.

Do not mess with Mother Nature! The natural law of supply and demand will always rise up from under the distorted efforts to contain it. The good news is that each passing week brings silver closer to its inevitable resolve: a powerful rally that will surpass all others.

Very poor sentiment towards gold and oversold conditions is reminiscent of the conditions seen in late 2008 and January 2009 [as seen in the chart below] when gold prices had fallen by more than 25% in 9 months. Subsequently, gold rose from a low on January 15, 2009 at $802.60/oz to a high less than 12 months later at $1,215/oz for a gain of over 50%. A similar move today would see gold above $1,800/oz by year end.

Following a brutal year for bullion in 2013 and an even worse year for gold miners, those bullish on the yellow metal and the companies that extract it from the earth may finally have something to hang their hats on.

Because the natural laws of supply and demand do not apply to gold and silver, the only way we can track the influence of endless paper supply on the market is through the most reliable source, the market itself, and the best way to track the market is through charts.Let's take a look at what they are conveying today.