Thursday , 2 May 2024

Economy

America's Future: Growing Deficit, Shrinking Economy, Imploding Dollar and Exploding Inflation

The new [debt ceiling deal] legislation will add $2.4 trillion to the $14.3 trillion national debt in a little over a year - and we don’t even start saving money until after the debt reaches $16.7 trillion! This bill doesn’t even cut the deficit. It just slows the growth of government spending to around 8% a year! So, even if Congress cuts $2.1 trillion out of the budget over the next 10 years, we will still be running annual deficits of more than $1 trillion...[That means that in addition to a deficit that will continue to grow we can look forward to a shrinking economy, an imploding U.S. dollar and exploding inflation. Some future! Let me explain.] Words: 827

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Bill Gross: $66 Trillion Debt Hangs Over U.S. Like a Damocles Sword

Even though the U.S. has managed to avert a debt crisis and perhaps a ratings downgrade, there remains a stain on our reputation, a scarlet “A” for budgetary “Abuse,” that will not disappear. The whole world was watching, and what they saw was a dysfunctional government taking its country to the financial precipice and backing off at the very last moment. [That being said, what options does the U.S. government have to reduce/eliminate its current $10 trillion of outstanding Treasury debt and an unfathomable $66 trillion of future liabilities? I have identified 4 likely courses of action all of which will lower the standard of living of every American.] Words: 1374

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Why U.S. Lost its Triple A Credit Rating (2K Views)

Credit rating agency Standard & Poor's has downgraded the U.S. debt rating for the first time since the country won the top ranking in 1917. The rating was dropped from AAA to AA+ because the deficit reduction plan passed by Congress on Tuesday did not go far enough to stabilize the country's debt situation and S&P's was “pessimistic about the capacity of Congress and the administration to leverage their agreement this week into a broader [deficit cutting] plan that stabilizes the government’s debt dynamics any time soon.” S&P also issued a negative outlook, meaning that there was a chance it will lower the rating further within the next two years, and warned that a downgrade to AA would occur if the agency sees smaller reductions in spending than Congress and the administration have agreed to make, higher interest rates or new fiscal pressures during this period. Words: 733

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Was this Crash Engineered by the Fed to Bolster Demand for Treasuries?

It was suggested 1.5 years ago that the next stock market crash might be one orchestrated by the Fed to create interest from historic buyers of US debt. The scenario went like this: you let the stock market collapse (i.e. no interference by the infamous "Plunge Protection Team") to generate a “flight to safety” environment which would push billions, if not hundreds of billions, of dollars into U.S. Treasuries, soaking up its increasing debt issuance and roll-over with little difficulty thereby flooding the bond market with much needed demand. Were the recent dramatic declines in the U.S. stock markets so engineered by the Fed? Words: 852

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Jim Rogers: Situation to Worsen in U.S. and Lead to Social Unrest

You think the problems are bad now? You wait until we don't have any more credit. You wait until the currency is collapsing. You wait until interest rates are going through the roof and inflation is going through the roof. It's not going to be a pretty picture. There will be social unrest. [See below for the link to the interview.] Words: 477

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The S&P 500 is Highly Vulnerable – Here's Why

The headwinds mentioned below and the massive rally in the stock market over the last few years leave equity markets highly vulnerable. At the very least I think we will test the lower end of the S&P trading range (1250) in the very near future. [Let me explain.] Words: 659

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Forecast for House Prices is Horrific! Here’s Why (+2K Views)

As bad as the housing crisis has been over the past three years, it has only been a warm up to what we have headed our way... [In fact,] the forecast is horrific, to say the least!28% of US homeowners already owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth [and]... 27% of American homeowners are considering walking away from their mortgage...This is going to significantly drive home prices further down. [Let's look at the details.] Words: 657

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What Would U.S. Default Mean for Canada – and the Global Economy?

Republicans and Democrats probably will reach a deal to pay America’s bills before the U.S. government runs out of cash at the end of July - probably - but in the meantime it has pushed the United States — and the world economy — toward a fearsome shock at a time when the world economy cannot afford any more shocks. If a U.S. default did happen, however...what would it mean for Canada? The answer is surprising. Read on. Words: 832

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