The permabears are coming out the woodwork. Bad, scary articles and news seem to attract more attention and eyeballs than good news articles or those that offer a counterbalanced view. Whenever someone gets interviewed on US TV, it’s for someone proclaiming the end of the expansion – you never see them interviewing someone offering a counter view of a more positive nature. This article gives you a balanced, opposing view to the tiresome popular perma-bear consensus so that you can make your own balanced decision. [As for our own conclusion, we don't see imminent recession. Here's why.] Words: 1315
Read More »"Joe's Index" Suggests Joe Sixpack Coming Back to the Consumption Trough
Econintersect has been playing with an economic index based on the world as seen by Joe Sixpack. For lack of a final name, we have used a development tag of “Joe’s Index” which is based on Joe’s real income and the change in his home value, which, to various degrees, Joe sees as income (and/or wealth) gain or loss. Joe’s Index is indicating Joe Sixpack is coming back to the consumption trough. [Let us explain why we have come to that conclusion.] Words: 380
Read More »“Joe’s Index” Suggests Joe Sixpack Coming Back to the Consumption Trough
Econintersect has been playing with an economic index based on the world as seen by Joe Sixpack. For lack of a final name, we have used a development tag of “Joe’s Index” which is based on Joe’s real income and the change in his home value, which, to various degrees, Joe sees as income (and/or wealth) gain or loss. Joe’s Index is indicating Joe Sixpack is coming back to the consumption trough. [Let us explain why we have come to that conclusion.] Words: 380
Read More »When EU Crisis Hits France This Autumn – Germany Will Walk! – Here’s Why
The future of the eurozone all boils down to Germany. I've been forecasting for months that Germany will increasingly focus on domestic interests and that it will ultimately opt to leave the Euro rather than prop up the EU. The former (focusing on domestic issues) is already underway and I believe the latter will occur once the EU Crisis spreads to France which I expect to happen before autumn. At that point, it's game over for any notion of the current EU lasting because Germany will walk! [Let me explain further.] Words: 675
Read More »When EU Crisis Hits France This Autumn – Germany Will Walk! – Here's Why
The future of the eurozone all boils down to Germany. I've been forecasting for months that Germany will increasingly focus on domestic interests and that it will ultimately opt to leave the Euro rather than prop up the EU. The former (focusing on domestic issues) is already underway and I believe the latter will occur once the EU Crisis spreads to France which I expect to happen before autumn. At that point, it's game over for any notion of the current EU lasting because Germany will walk! [Let me explain further.] Words: 675
Read More »Probability of Global Recession Increasing – Here's Why
This past week we received the latest PMI readings for the world as a whole (48.9), the eurozone (46.4), and for 30+ individual countries [Read: Telling It Like It Is: Latest PMIs Reveal Truth About the Global Economy]...and the latest numbers signal contraction and even more so when adjusted to reflect the concentration of GDP by countries/region. [Let me explain.] Words: 600
Read More »Probability of Global Recession Increasing – Here’s Why
This past week we received the latest PMI readings for the world as a whole (48.9), the eurozone (46.4), and for 30+ individual countries [Read: Telling It Like It Is: Latest PMIs Reveal Truth About the Global Economy]...and the latest numbers signal contraction and even more so when adjusted to reflect the concentration of GDP by countries/region. [Let me explain.] Words: 600
Read More »September Might Well Become the Cruelest Month of the Cruelest Year! Here's Why
Relax. Enjoy the summer. New research says that September is typically the month in which most banking crises occurred. Below are the details. Words: 235
Read More »September Might Well Become the Cruelest Month of the Cruelest Year! Here’s Why
Relax. Enjoy the summer. New research says that September is typically the month in which most banking crises occurred. Below are the details. Words: 235
Read More »Once Inflation Starts There Will Be NO Stopping It!
If inflation starts to head towards 5%, you can be sure it’s headed for 10% because they don’t have the ability to stop it now. The only antidote they have to the mess we are in, which is massively excessive debt reinforced by derivatives, is unlimited money printing. The idea that you can withdraw the punch bowl or sharply raise interest rates, it just doesn’t exist, unless you want to take a complete deflationary collapse.
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