The probability of a move greater than 5% to the downside after a confirmed Hindenburg Omen was 77% [conversely, 23% of the time no significant market downturn occurred] and usually took place within the next forty-days. The probability of a panic sellout was 41% and the probability of a major stock market crash was 24%. The Omen was activated on the New York Stock Exchange on August 11 so the probability is that we will see a steep market decline sometime in September. Words: 871

If our assessment is correct, over the coming years, stocks, precious metals, commodities and real-estate will appreciate in value versus paper currencies. Furthermore, on a relative basis, we expect precious metals and commodities to outperform all other asset-classes. Conversely, we anticipate that cash and fixed income instruments will probably turn out to be the worst assets to own over the next decade. Words: 869

It would seem these days that, with bonds, CDs and money market funds paying less than the rate of inflation, serious consideration should be given to S&P 500 stocks that high dividend yields. The number are few (17) but when you take into account the dividends paid out relative to earnings, the extent and consistency of dividend growth over the years and trading at a relatively low price to earning ratio the choices only 2 make the cut. Words: 740

While the average amateur investor may be excellent in their own career field, it doesn't mean they know what to invest in, or how to pick stocks. In fact being very good at your field can give you the false sense that whatever stocks you pick or your broker picks for you must be good, because after all, you picked them and you picked your broker — and you're smart so, no doubt, those stock prices will go up. Unfortunately, the smart and talented stock-picking neophyte is not investing at all but speculating. Words: 924

The economic outlook for most major economies has deteriorated rapidly meaning we'll almost certainly see more shocks in the financial markets. Given the nature of the current economic crisis — one defined by unsustainable debt — history suggests those shocks [could] come in the form of sovereign debt defaults and currency devaluations. This possibility has increased the specter of risk for every region of the world and dampened investment returns for the entire global economy. [What should we do?] Words: 631

When you think of Canada, which qualities come to mind: the world's peacekeeper, the friendly nation, a liberal counterweight to the harsher pieties of its southern neighbour, decent, civilised, fair, well-governed? Think again. This country's government is now behaving with all the sophistication of a chimpanzee's tea party. Words: 1377

In this hostile financial climate, long-term investors must now give more thought than ever to capital preservation and sustainable growth... and Canada's fortunes will surprise many. Its uniquely bifurcated economy can serve as a bridge from the developed to the developing world - at least for investors wise enough to cross it. Words: 776

The price of oil is headed "unimaginably higher" in the next few years - to somewhere north of $300 a barrel - because of two very simple forces. Words: 708

There is no reason for investors to be worried about either inflation or deflation in the United States for at least the next few years. Words: 933

It is an old saying that the “road to hell is paved with good intentions”. Well, in recent years, that road has been changed to a super-highway! America was put on that super-highway a few years ago and right now we are traveling at break-neck speed toward the financial abyss. Words: 1132