Sunday , 22 December 2024

U.S. Economy is Tanking; Everyone is Talking QE 3 Again – but it Ain't Coming Soon – Here's Why

Once again the U.S. economy is tanking and everyone is talking QE 3. Sorry folks, it ain’t coming. If the Fed cranks up the printing press, Obama loses any hope of re-election. If the ECB cranks up the printing press, Germany walks. End of story. [Let me explain.] Words: 386

So says Graham Summers (www.gainspainscapital.com) in edited excerpts from his original article*.

Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!), has edited the article below for length and clarity – see Editor’s Note at the bottom of the page. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.

Summers goes on to say, in part:

Bernanke said back in May 2011 that “if we’re going to have success in creating a long-run, sustainable recovery with lots of job growth, we’ve got to keep inflation under control” [and that clearly means no QE3 is coming, period.] Now Bill Dudley of the New York Fed, who’s been braying for more QE for over a year, is agreeing with Bernanke saying on Wednesday “as long as the U.S. economy continues to grow sufficiently fast to cut into the nation’s unused economic resources at a meaningful pace, I think the benefits from further action are unlikely to exceed the costs.” 

Folks, if you’re buying into the whole QE 3 is coming on June 6th argument, you’re out of your minds. This is an election year. If the Fed announces QE 3 now, Obama is done. Do you really think this is going to happen when even the Fed’s biggest doves are noting that the consequences of QE outweigh the benefits?

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With that in mind, Europe will be collapsing as no one (not the ECB, not the IMF, not the ESM, and not even the Fed) will be stepping in to prop it up. The reason? NONE of these entities have the funds (Europe’s banking system is $46 trillion in size) to do so (bank runs are pushing leverage levels even higher in Spain, Greece and elsewhere).

Moreover, the political environments for their organizations (the US for the Fed and IMF and Germany for the ECB and ESM) will not permit a massive intervention.

If the Fed cranks up the printing press, Obama loses any hope of re-election. If the ECB cranks up the printing press, Germany walks. End of story.

*www.gainspainscapital.com (To access the above article please copy the URL and paste it into your browser.)

Editor’s Note: The above article may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…), and reformatted (including the title, some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. The article’s views and conclusions are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original article.

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