Tag Archives: stock market crash

The bull market from early 2009 into May 2015 looks just like every bubble in history. It follows the Masters and Johnson chart for the male orgasm – there’s a rise, a climax, and a sharp fall!

A second demographic cliff is developing in spades, and globally, and it is going to cause a serious stock market crash in the year to follow.

In this article I don't predict a hard date or magnitude of the next market crash but merely point out that there are several catalysts that could easily lead to a large market crash in 2016.

In this latest global financial crisis there’s no single catalyst. Instead, this time around a whole bunch of seemingly-unrelated things are unraveling all at once.

Given that this imminent recession will begin with the stock market flirting with all-time highs, the next stock market crash should be closer to the 2001 and 2008 debacles that saw the major averages cut in half.

The deteriorating junk bond market, along with rising credit spreads, is indicating that we will have a stock market correction in about 3-6 months. Here are the details.

The global carry trade (meaning money borrowed in US Dollars and invested in other assets) stands at over $9 TRILLION (larger than the economy of France and Brazil combined) but, given the U.S. dollar rally combined with the Fed's hint at raising rates in December, it is at risk of blowing up. Here's why.

On the very last day of the last two Shemitah years, the stock market crashed so badly that it set a brand new all-time record and now we are in another Shemitah year. It began last fall, and it will end next September. Could it be possible that we will see another historic market crash?

Where do we go from here? I can promise you, it's only going to get worse! Like our economy, there is clear seasonality when it comes to stocks. Trends flesh out overtime. It's not random. From that data, I want to give you a picture of what the next few months might look like.

History shows rather clearly that the stock market is prone to extreme events, aka crashes. The challenge is deciding when the risk for a repeat performance is unusually high... The leading factor, of course, is the business cycle but internal market issues can't be ignored either. With that in mind, I've developed what I think of as a crash-risk index for the U.S. stock market (S&P 500), which draws on signals from ten metrics that are reflecting different factors...