Where do we go from here? I can promise you, it's only going to get worse! Like our economy, there is clear seasonality when it comes to stocks. Trends flesh out overtime. It's not random. From that data, I want to give you a picture of what the next few months might look like.
Read More »Stock Market Not Likely To Crash Soon & Here’s Why
History shows rather clearly that the stock market is prone to extreme events, aka crashes. The challenge is deciding when the risk for a repeat performance is unusually high... The leading factor, of course, is the business cycle but internal market issues can't be ignored either. With that in mind, I've developed what I think of as a crash-risk index for the U.S. stock market (S&P 500), which draws on signals from ten metrics that are reflecting different factors...
Read More »Both Stocks & Bonds Could Decline By 75% – Yes, 75%! – In Coming 10 Years – Here’s Why (2K Views)
The current credit-bubble boom in stocks and bonds is getting long in tooth after 34 years of relentless expansion, and the rise of securities to 400% of GDP is reaching extremes that are increasingly difficult to support, much less push higher. As such, a reversion to generational lows is inevitable, and a valuation level around 50% of GDP for stocks is a fair target. This implies a 75% decline in both stocks and bonds within the next decade, if not sooner.
Read More »Curtains To Come Down 70% On Greatest Bull Market & Bubble In History By 2017 (2K Views)
Where does the Dow go from here? Maybe up a little higher but, more likely, it's all downhill from here though perhaps that statement is misleading. More like, down a cliff.
Read More »Here’s How To Determine If A Stock Market Crash Is Imminent (2K Views)
There is a simple way for any logical person to determine whether a crash is imminent. It isn’t listening to fear mongering, or a commentator trying to grab attention so stop listening to the experts who are blowing out their ……. Start looking around yourself.
Read More »The DOOM & GLOOM Pundits Are Predicting A Crash – But Look Again!!!
The DOOM & GLOOM pundits are predicting a crash saying that this economic cycle has over-stretched itself - but look again!!!
Read More »Is An Economic Crash Coming Soon? These Analysts Think So – Here’s Why (+3K Views)
Dozens of “analysts are convinced that the U.S. economy is going to hell in a hand basket – and soon. How sound are their analyses of the current economic situation? Will they be proven to be very insightful or nothing less than fear mongers looking for attention? Their views are all here. You be the judge.
Read More »Will End of 6-year Run in Stocks Be Any Different This Time Round?
On March 9th, 2009 the S&P 500 hit a low of 676.53 and, since that day, it has risen more than 200%. On only 2 other occasions within the last 100 years has the S&P 500 performed this well over a 6 year time frame. This has been great for investors but in both previous instances (1929 & 1999), the end result was utter disaster. Will it be different this time?
Read More »“Black Swan” Event Not Necessary to Cause Major Stock Market Decline! Here’s Why
Nobody should be surprised when the next bear market in U.S. equities turns out to be of historic proportions - but, of course, almost everyone will be.
Read More »Get Your Head Out Of the Sand – the Red Flags Are Starting to Flap!!
Just because something has happened in the past does not mean that it will happen in the future but the fact that so many red flags are appearing all at once has got to give any rational person reason for concern. What red flags, you ask? Read on!
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