Tag Archives: gold price

There is a remarkable correlation between the prevailing level of global liquidity (defined as the sum of the U.S. monetary base and the foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries) and the price of gold per troy ounce. The current correlation suggests a gold price of $1,780 as illustrated by the chart below.

You will read more and more articles touting how gold and silver have bottomed. They have not, at least according to price behavior as determined by actual buyers and sellers in the market.

From the onset of the global financial crisis, the price of gold has often been portrayed as a barometer of global economic insecurity (in principle, holding gold is a form of insurance against war, financial Armageddon, and wholesale currency debasement) so does the collapse in gold prices - from a peak of $1,900 per ounce in August 2011 to under $1,250 at the beginning of July 2013 - represent a vote of confidence in the global economy?

It’s been a tough road for precious metals but the path ahead has strong potential of being significantly profitable and in a short period of time. The buying opportunity that we’ve spoken of for months could be days away. When precious metals equities rebound, they rebound violently.

Not one Precious Metals guru has gotten anything right in the last 18 months. All have been calling for considerably higher prices. Over the past several months none called for sub-$1,300 gold and sub-$20 silver. Crystal balls do not work and never have. When it comes to markets, anything can happen [but the charts convey that] there is no apparent ending action suggesting a selling climax or even a cause for a reaction rally. Take a look.

The monthly silver chart does not reflect what could be viewed as ending action for the decline. If/as price rallies, it may be more of a futures selling opportunity than a sign of recovery. As the structure stands, odds favor lower price attempts.

The 3 videos presented here sum up where we are, why gold was bombed, why technical analysis in gold is a major waste of time and the direction we are, without any doubt, going. They build an argument that screams that you should not sell your physical gold or gold producers with political sensitivity, cheap cost of production, and near surface gold and, instead, either initiate or increase your gold and unique gold producer position.

Going forward, if gold can break $1,478, the next level of interest is the closing price of $1,501 from April 12. If you are looking to get long gold, it would probably be best to wait until the commodity can get back above at least one of these levels before making a commitment.

We are seeing signs of a bottom...in gold...but... prudence calls for waiting for some signs of stabilization before getting long. I would rather miss the first 10-20% move than lose another 50% should I get long prematurely. [Let me show you some charts that illustrate my caution.] Words: 288; Charts: 6

The recent slide in the gold price has generated substantial demand for bullion that will likely bring forward a financial and systemic disaster for both central and bullion banks that has been brewing for a long time. Here's why. Words: 2130