The economic outlook for most major economies has deteriorated rapidly meaning we'll almost certainly see more shocks in the financial markets. Given the nature of the current economic crisis — one defined by unsustainable debt — history suggests those shocks [could] come in the form of sovereign debt defaults and currency devaluations. This possibility has increased the specter of risk for every region of the world and dampened investment returns for the entire global economy. [What should we do?] Words: 631
Read More »Relax! Inflation or Deflation Will Be Mild for Next Few Years – and Then…
There is no reason for investors to be worried about either inflation or deflation in the United States for at least the next few years. Words: 933
Read More »Move Over Japan – U.S. Edging Towards a Deflationary Trap Too
Some analysts suggest that the U.S. is heading into a long period of stagnant growth, in large part because of high unemployment and an overhang of debts that will restrain consumer spending which tends to hold down wages, putting more downward pressure on prices and once deflation sets in, consumers may hoard cash or try to pay off their debts faster, fueling the downward spiral of spending and growth. words: 1105
Read More »Why Deflation is Needed
The odds are growing that low inflation could become deflation — with some economists worried that it has already started to happen... [Frankly, though,] there is going to be no recovery, at least for a long time unless we have deflation... and those who reject [such a notion] will live to regret it. Words: 2148
Read More »More Quantitative Easing Would Have Frightening Side Effects
Like, ‘depression', ‘recession' has become an unacceptable word, because its use would drain confidence even more heavily. The housing market is already tipping into another negative slide with new house sales falling and mortgage rates at record lows. What can be done? We...see more quantitative easing as being unavoidable within three months, if the bad news continues. This time, [however,] we have to ask, can it be managed without frightening side effects? Words: 833
Read More »Recession Staying; Deflation Coming
The past several quarters of improving real GDP may be nothing more than an interlude in a more sustained economic downturn, with further negative quarters still ahead. Such an outcome will suppress inflation further and quite possibly lead to deflation. Words: 1986
Read More »Stöferle: Groundwork Being Set for Major Gains in Gold and Silver
While gold has outperformed all other asset classes in the past ten years, an analysis of our current economic and financial environment indicates that the ongoing increase in precious metals has only just begun and should ensure a sustainably positive environment for gold [and silver, gold and silver shares and the warrants associated with gold and silver companies in the years to come]. Words: 2095
Read More »As Global System Unravels Deflation Seen As a Distinct Likelihood
It is not inflation that is worrying big investors - though inflation may be the default response before this is all over - but deflation. Words: 638
Read More »Those With Debts Will Go Broke in Coming Deflationary Depression – Here’s Why (+2K Views)
We have had massive monetary creation for decades now which we have finally come to the day of reckoning. We do not know if the top will be next month, next year or even later but we certainly are getting to the top where we cannot buy our way out of the problem through a new stimulus injection... The truth is that a terrible, deflationary depression is probably starting in the coming months. Words: 1581
Read More »Nouriel Roubini: How to Avoid a Double-Dip Global Recession
There is an ongoing debate among global policymakers about when and how fast to exit from the strong monetary and fiscal stimulus that prevented the Great Recession of 2008-2009 from turning into a new Great Depression. Germany and the European Central Bank are pushing aggressively for early fiscal austerity; the United States is worried about the risks of excessively early fiscal consolidation. Words: 957
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