We have been in the throes of a secular bear market, subject to strong cyclical swings in either direction, since 2000. Currently, based on the 5 leading investment indicators analyzed in this article, the measures all confirm that, from a longer-term perspective, the market remains overvalued. Let's take a look at each to see why that is the case.
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My Point-by-Point Rebuttal of Roubini’s 7-point Analysis on the Bursting of the Gold Bubble
People ask me all the time where the price of gold is headed. I do not pretend to know, especially in the short-term. However, I understand the fundamentals and Roubini clearly doesn't, nor does he have a clue about money or what causes economic growth...In fact, having just read Nouriel Roubini's seven point analysis on the Bursting of the Gold Bubble, I am of the opinion that he doesn't get even one of the seven points correct. In this article I offer a point-by-point rebuttal.
Read More »Canadian Economy Still Strong But Setting Itself Up For a Very Hard Fall! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
[To repeat,] Canada's concentrated bet on real estate and construction, while creating jobs in the short term, is putting Canadian economy at greater risk in the future [and, with it unlikely that] Canadian households will significantly increase disposable income in the near future, any deleveraging could therefore prove to be quite painful.
Read More »History Suggests Dow Has Only 4% More To Go Before Correcting
The Dow is just a "pinch away" from a series of resistance lines, ranging from 13 years to 31 years, that have marked important emotional highs & lows in the past suggesting that once the Dow reaches 16,000 or so it will correct.
Read More »Stocks: Irrational Exuberance Has Returned! Here’s Why (+2K Views)
It wasn't so long ago that irrational exuberance over the housing market had seized investors' logic, and the same thing is happening to US stocks right now. Fair-weather investors are abandoning gold equities and jumping into the US market in the hopes of making an easy buck, just as people bought property near the housing peak hoping to flip it before those adjustable-rate mortgages reset... My advice: don't gamble your savings on the hope that there will be a greater fool who will come along and buy your inflated assets at even higher prices.
Read More »Invest In South Korea – Here’s Why & How (+2K Views)
The financial media gives plenty of attention to China and Japan, but one Asian country that just doesn’t seem to receive its due is South Korea. Some of the most-attractive investment opportunities in the world can be found in South Korea. In fact, the average South Korea stock is about 40% cheaper than U.S. stocks on a price-to-earnings basis, trading at an average of 9.6 times trailing earnings compared to 17 times for U.S. stocks.
Read More »Deflationary Pressures In Economy Are Primary Concern of the Fed (+2K Views)
Despite the Fed’s recent communications that they are planning to “taper” the current monetary program by the end of this year – the index is suggesting that their interventions, in one form or another, are unlikely to end anytime soon. The threat of “deflation” remains the Fed’s primary concern.
Read More »Japan: A Country On the Brink of Fiscal & Economic Disaster!
I wrote several years ago that Japan is a bug in search of a windshield and in January I wrote that 2013 is the Year of the Windshield. Japan is a country that is on the brink of fiscal and economic disaster
Read More »Don’t Get Greedy! The Greedometer Gauge Has a 100% Track Record – Here’s Its Most Recent S&P 500 Forecast (+3K Views)
In the 7 years that the Greedometer has been used there have been zero missed calls, and zero false alarms. The 7th warning began in January and in late February,the Greedometer gauge reached an epic 7900rpm which is marginally higher than the 7700rpm maximum reading seen 3 months prior to the S&P500 peak in October 2007. [This article outlines the development and successes of the Greedometer and the new Mini Greedometer and what they are predicting for the stock market in 2013.] Words: 1420
Read More »What Does Ongoing Low Inflation Mean for Investors?
There’s certainly no shortage of things to worry about right now related to the US economy but one thing we’re not too worried about right now is inflation. So what are the implications for investors? Here are four.
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