Friday , 1 November 2024

Search Results for: interest rates

Japan’s Nikkei Index Levels: Past, Present & Likely Future

The Tokyo Nikkei Average rose +82% in just six months in a parabolic move that was doomed from the start. They almost always are. When a parabolic move breaks, as it did in May, the speed of the decline can be catastrophic and has fallen 22% to date. The downside expectation is for prices to return to the level of the basing pattern that preceded it. In this case between 8300 to 9100. That is not a prediction, just the level we at which we might expect to start looking for a tradable bottom.

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What Must Happen for Bull Market in Gold, Silver & PM Stocks to Resume? (+2K Views)

Precious metals - Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium and there respective mining shares - have failed to sustain any rebound despite tremendously supportive sentiment amid an extreme oversold condition. Nevertheless, we believe that the bottom is in and a rebound should begin very soon. The question though is, "What will the driving force be for a sustainable rebound which will evolve into a new cyclical bull market?" Below are several options to be considered and my assessment as to which it will be - and why.

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Does Behavior of “We the People” Suggest Central Bankers Have Gone Too Far? (+2K Views)

Central bankers have concluded that the scale of monetary easing they have taken over the past few years should be magnified - that more easing is required to get things rolling - but could it be that central planning has gone too far or, at least, reached its boundaries? Disposable income in real terms per person and savings rate of individuals could be reliable indicators that such is the case. Let me explain.

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