I am worried about the possibility of a second dip - of a new recession beginning sometime in the next year or so - before the current recovery has had a chance to produce much improvement. Verbally-intuitively, the case for a second dip still seems pretty overwhelming to me. I take comfort in the knowledge that I tend to have a pessimistic bias, and in the fact that sophisticated quantitative models are generally putting the odds of a second dip quite low. On the other hand, successfully forecasting recessions has not been a strong point of quantitative models. Words: 1433
Read More »Search Results for: interest rates
America’s Debt Bubble Will Implode When Fed Pulls Liquidity (+2K Views)
The market basically doesn't want a recovery right now. It loves high unemployment and a bad economy because it allows the Fed to keep rates at zero which is highly profitable for Wall St via the games that I described above. Of course our crippled economy is an absolute nightmare for the rest of us as we lose our jobs and our homes as Rome continues to burn. Words: 1248
Read More »Doug Casey's View of the Future is Very Disturbing – Got Gold?
Absolutely every currency in the world is going to reach its intrinsic value in the next few years. Basically all the governments are going to wind up destroying their national currencies. That won't be just an academic thing; it will have the consequence of destroying a lot of the middle classes around the world. That will likely create ugly political and sociological fallout. Words: 3299
Read More »Price of Gold Likely To Fall Below $1000 By Year End – Natixis (+2K Views)
While there are some good reasons to hold gold at the moment, many of the drivers behind gold's strong, decade-long run look like they have begun to turn and, as a result, the price of gold is likely to fall below $1,000, in the short to medium term, possibly as soon as year end. Words: 861
Read More »Why We Are Staring at a Startling Increase in the Price of Gold
We are staring at a startling increase in the price of gold and precious metals mining stocks and warrants. Gold will reach mind- boggling levels because the actions of our political leaders and their academic and credentialed enablers are virtually guaranteeing it with their current actions. Words: 996
Read More »The Debt Deflation Theory: Why We Should Worry and What We Should Do About It
It remains to be seen if we will experience a deflationary period, but if we do, obviously cash will be king. Always remember: the best have cash at tops and bottoms of markets. [Are you one of 'the best'?] Words: 453
Read More »Protect Yourself From Sovereign Debt Defaults With Physical Gold and Silver
It is clearly evident that America's debt picture is truly astronomical and, like the situation with Greece, the debt cannot, and never will, be repaid. Indeed, any way you look at it, the consequences for the United States, let alone the many other haunted economies, are grim, dismal - even disastrous. Words: 1166
Read More »Japan: The Greece of the East?
Japan is flirting with becoming the Greece of the East. Japan’s legendary household and corporate savings are on a downward trend [and, while current] domestic savers have always been forgiving of the government’s overspending, when [their] savings become inadequate to fund the government’s drain, other investors will be much less sympathetic. Words: 508
Read More »Is Your IRA or 401K a Target of Government Appropriation? (+3K Views)
Will the laws and rules in place to protect individuals in their attempt to set something aside for retirement be safeguarded by the representatives elected to advocate for them in Washington? Will the principles and moral integrity of the political class keep them from appropriating the trillions of dollars held in 401k's and IRA's? I'm not so sure! Words: 1207
Read More »"The Great Dollar Devaluation Disaster" is Beginning – Position Your Investments for MAJOR Inflation! (+4K Views)
The great dollar devaluation disaster has begun and will continue — with minor short-term pauses and corrections in the decline — for at least the next two to three years and at the very least, the dollar will sink so low and inflation will soar so high that you will eventually need at least TWICE the income you have now just to survive. A lifestyle that costs you $100,000 per year today will be $200,000 or more. Words: 2313
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