von Mises once said, “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later, as a final and total catastrophe of the currency involved” and just that is happening before our very eyes. Words: 2242
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Why Many Analysts See Gold Going As High As $10,000 (+8K Views)
My first reaction when I read an article* on this site by Arnold Bock - articulating why gold would go to $10,000 – by 2012 no less - was amazement. Who in their right mind would suggest that gold would eventually reach $2,500, let alone $5,000 or even $10,000? Words: 2097
Read More »Nouriel Roubini: How to Avoid a Double-Dip Global Recession
There is an ongoing debate among global policymakers about when and how fast to exit from the strong monetary and fiscal stimulus that prevented the Great Recession of 2008-2009 from turning into a new Great Depression. Germany and the European Central Bank are pushing aggressively for early fiscal austerity; the United States is worried about the risks of excessively early fiscal consolidation. Words: 957
Read More »Will We or Won't We Have Another Recession Soon – The Case For and Against a Second Dip
I am worried about the possibility of a second dip - of a new recession beginning sometime in the next year or so - before the current recovery has had a chance to produce much improvement. Verbally-intuitively, the case for a second dip still seems pretty overwhelming to me. I take comfort in the knowledge that I tend to have a pessimistic bias, and in the fact that sophisticated quantitative models are generally putting the odds of a second dip quite low. On the other hand, successfully forecasting recessions has not been a strong point of quantitative models. Words: 1433
Read More »America’s Debt Bubble Will Implode When Fed Pulls Liquidity (+2K Views)
The market basically doesn't want a recovery right now. It loves high unemployment and a bad economy because it allows the Fed to keep rates at zero which is highly profitable for Wall St via the games that I described above. Of course our crippled economy is an absolute nightmare for the rest of us as we lose our jobs and our homes as Rome continues to burn. Words: 1248
Read More »Doug Casey's View of the Future is Very Disturbing – Got Gold?
Absolutely every currency in the world is going to reach its intrinsic value in the next few years. Basically all the governments are going to wind up destroying their national currencies. That won't be just an academic thing; it will have the consequence of destroying a lot of the middle classes around the world. That will likely create ugly political and sociological fallout. Words: 3299
Read More »Price of Gold Likely To Fall Below $1000 By Year End – Natixis (+2K Views)
While there are some good reasons to hold gold at the moment, many of the drivers behind gold's strong, decade-long run look like they have begun to turn and, as a result, the price of gold is likely to fall below $1,000, in the short to medium term, possibly as soon as year end. Words: 861
Read More »Why We Are Staring at a Startling Increase in the Price of Gold
We are staring at a startling increase in the price of gold and precious metals mining stocks and warrants. Gold will reach mind- boggling levels because the actions of our political leaders and their academic and credentialed enablers are virtually guaranteeing it with their current actions. Words: 996
Read More »The Debt Deflation Theory: Why We Should Worry and What We Should Do About It
It remains to be seen if we will experience a deflationary period, but if we do, obviously cash will be king. Always remember: the best have cash at tops and bottoms of markets. [Are you one of 'the best'?] Words: 453
Read More »Protect Yourself From Sovereign Debt Defaults With Physical Gold and Silver
It is clearly evident that America's debt picture is truly astronomical and, like the situation with Greece, the debt cannot, and never will, be repaid. Indeed, any way you look at it, the consequences for the United States, let alone the many other haunted economies, are grim, dismal - even disastrous. Words: 1166
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