Historically the price of gold rises when there’s an increasing percentage of federal revenues going to pay interest on the national debt and...declines when US interest payments move down as a percentage of federal revenues. [Given what is currently unfolding,]...the forecast for the price of gold is simply up, up and away. [Let me show you in graphic form.] Words: 451
Read More »Search Results for: interest rates
Official and ShadowStats Monthly Inflation Rates: 1872 to Present (+2K Views)
[There is a considerable difference between the official BLS inflation rate (1.63%) and the ShadowStats' alternative method of calculating consumer prices (9.07%) but] I believe that the optimum method is probably somewhere between the two. [Let me explain.] Words: 390
Read More »What Does E*TRADE’s Sector Data Tell Us About Potential Sector Returns for 2024
E*TRADE's Monthly Sector Rotation report highlights investor movement across S&P 500 sectors. In August, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology, and Consumer Staples saw positive inflows, while Communication Services, Health Care, and Financials faced outflows. Despite concerns about a tech sector rotation, IT continued its strength, driven by stocks like Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT). Meanwhile, Real Estate declined sharply amid rising interest rates and economic uncertainty. Historical trends suggest that top-performing sectors, like tech in 2023, often lose momentum the following year. This dynamic could impact sector performance in 2024.
Read More »Five-Year Performance Review of Gold and Gold-Related ETFs Amid Market Volatility
Over the past five years, gold and gold-related ETFs have experienced significant fluctuations due to economic events, changing interest rates, and shifting market sentiment. This article reviews the performance of gold, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ). Gold rose by over 60%, while GLD closely mirrored this increase. In contrast, GDX and GDXJ significantly underperformed, with GDX up only 30% and GDXJ up just 12%. This analysis highlights the varying risks and returns associated with different gold-related investments.
Read More »The U.S. National Debt Reached $35T Last Week! Here’s What It Could Mean
Modern Monetary Theory asserts that as long as the central bank can monetize federal debt and keep interest rates low the government can endlessly increase the amount of debt...[but] those who pretend deficits don’t matter ignore the fact that interest on the national debt will soon be the largest item in the federal budget,
Read More »Unlike the U.S., A Canadian Recession Is A Matter Of When, Not If – Here’s Why.
A reasonable debate can be had regarding the extent to which the U.S. economy may slow in the near-term but Canada's sensitivity to interest rates suggests that a Canadian recession is a matter of when, not if.
Read More »What Will Happen If (and probably when) the U.S. Debt Bubble Bursts? (+24K Views)
The madmen who are responsible for the coming economic disaster continue to behave as if they can manage to avoid it. Violating Einstein’s definition of insanity, they continue to apply the same poison that caused the problem. These fools believe they can manage complexities they do not understand. The end is certain, only its timing is unknown, and, once interest rates begin to rise, and they will, it's game over so it begs the questions "How much longer this can possibly go on?" and "What will happen to the U.S. and the world when it does?"
Read More »Prepare & Prosper – Gold Equities Could Experience +1000% Returns Once Again! (+4K Views)
We are in the eye of the storm and when the other side of the vortex engulfs us gold and silver will increase considerably, their associated stocks will go up substantially and their warrants, where available, will escalate dramatically. With what has happened in the world of late and what will be unfolding in the next 5 years or so those few investors who fully understand the impact the current economic situation is going to have on future inflation, the USD, interest rates, the stock market, physical gold and silver and gold and silver stocks and warrants in particular are going to be in the unique position of being the benefactors of currently unimaginable returns and wealth. All they need do, as I like to say, is “Just prepare and prosper!” Words: 918
Read More »Physical Gold vs. Gold Stocks: Which Perform Best In A Recession? (+31K Views)
IF the bull market in stocks and bonds is to end, the implications will be dire because, historically, the Fed has always intervened to prop the market by lowering interest rates. Fed moves impact the broader market equities and impact resource equities alike so let’s take a look at the effect of a general market correction on our resource portfolio.
Read More »Commodities Are Practically Bulletproof Investments Going Forward
The markets have heard Powell’s message of higher interest rates, and the damage they could cause the greater economy, loud and clear. The S&P 500 has slid 8.4% over the past month (as of the close of trading Wednesday), and the 2-year Treasury yield recently hit its highest level since 2007...How bad could it get? Ho can an investor survive the coming storm? [Read on!]
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