[Here is a summary of my]...thoughts on the 2011 gold price peak relative to the last time a long term bull market ended (back in 1980): Long-term bull markets almost always end with a bang, not a whimper, and last year's price peak was clearly the latter. A 25% rise over a period of about two months last year [does not an] end-of-cycle, blow-off top [make]. No, I think there's still some room to run for gold if for no other reason than that we haven't even come close to the "mania" stage that characterizes the end of long-term market moves...[Let me explain further.] Words: 359; Charts: 1
Read More »Search Results for: interest rates
Oxymoronically, the Biggest Risk to the U.S. Economy & Dollar Might Well Be Economic Growth! Here's Why
While Treasuries are said to have no default risk as the Federal Reserve can always print money to pay off the debt, hidden risks might be lurking. As oxymoronic as it may sound, the biggest risk to the economy and the U.S. dollar might be, well, economic growth! Let us explain. Words: 2065; Charts: 1
Read More »Once the Fed Fires All Its Bullets Its "Kaboom"! Here's Why & How to Prepare
Bond Guru and DoubleLine Capital Co-Founder Jeff Gundlach... predicts that there is a "financial catastrophe coming." Here is an overview of what Gundlach sees coming, and 3 steps investors can take to prepare for, and profit from his predictions. Words: 910
Read More »U.S. Events Suggest It’s Time to Further Internationalize Your Portfolio (2K Views)
With both the fiscal cliff and debt ceiling looming, US stocks beginning to trail stocks overseas and the much increased volatility of the US market compared to those outside the United States, it is getting difficult to argue that the United States is still the "safe port" in a storm. Given the changing dynamic, we continue to believe that this is a good time for investors to consider lowering their overweight position in US equities while raising the allocation to international stocks. [I explain my position more fully in this article.] Words: 711
Read More »It's Time to Get "All In"! Here's Why
The last couple of weeks have offered such amazing buying opportunities that I'm now "all in" and suggest you follow suit, immediately. In 2-6 months you can thank me and send me photos of the vacation you bought with the extra money. Words: 508
Read More »Goldbugs, Here's Why Gold's Long Bull Run Could Be Over
Gold is sought after and saved when its price is rising in anticipation of rising inflation, or on concerns created by the collapse of currencies and in the final stage of long bull markets in any asset, prices often continue to rise further for no other reason than that they have been rising so dramatically for so long, making investors confident they can extend expectations for more gains in a straight line into the future, rather than thinking cycles. [That begs the question no gold bug wants to contemplate "Could gold's long bull run be over?" Let's try and answer that question.] Words: 814; Charts: 3
Read More »We Can Ignore Economic Reality But We CAN’T Ignore the Consequences (+2K Views)
As Ayn Rand said “We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality” so, with apologies to Ayn Rand, let’s explore some examples of ignoring reality. (Words: 1132; Charts: 1)
Read More »It Is Just A Matter of Time Before Gold is Either Confiscated, Outlawed or Severely Restricted – Here’s Why & What to Do (+2K Views)
I’m starting to believe that we’re heading down a path where precious metals are once again confiscated, outlawed, or at least severely restricted in many countries. [Here's how I think such might well unfold.] Words: 783
Read More »Lack of Economic Growth Expected to Continue Until 1 of 2 Things Change – Here They Are (+2K Views)
Saving rates continue to fall. As full-time employment remains elusive, the average American continues to resort to debt, and governmental support, to fill the gap between waning real incomes and their expected standard of living....[This] will continue to impede economic growth until such time as either debt returns to levels that are conducive for higher levels of personal savings or incomes rise. [Words: 1322; Charts: 7]
Read More »Short Gold! Really? (+2K Views)
Gold’s loss of momentum in the past months has predictably brought out calls to short gold. [This article offers] a brief guide to whether you should consider or ignore these [suggestions]. Words: 1184; Charts: 1
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